On Thursday March 12, Mayor Tim Keller officially announced that he is running for a third 4 year consecutive term. He did so by issuing a press release and a video. You can view the one minute video here. Following is the Keller press release:
Mayor Tim Keller Announces Bid for Reelection and to Keep Fighting for Albuquerque
Tough times require strong, consistent leadership
ALBUQUERQUE, NM—Mayor Tim Keller has officially announced his candidacy for another term as Mayor of Albuquerque, aiming to strengthen efforts in tackling crime, revitalizing the city, and delivering lasting solutions to homelessness.
“At City Hall, we are relentless problem solvers, tackling Albuquerque’s toughest challenges head-on every day. We hear your concerns about long-standing local issues, compounded by the turmoil from Washington, D.C. That’s why now, more than ever, Albuquerque needs an experienced fighter who will protect its future—and that’s why I’m running for reelection.”
In these challenging times, the next four years must be about standing up for our city, uniting our community against division, and taking bold action to help those in need—getting people off the streets, out of addiction, and into stable housing. We must make every corner of our city safer from gun violence through technology and intervention. By building on the real progress we’ve made, I am committed to driving meaningful change and ensuring a brighter future for Albuquerque for generations to come.
Under Mayor Tim Keller’s visionary leadership, Albuquerque has moved forward on addressing the long-standing challenges that have held back our city for decades:
- Crime Reduction: When Mayor Keller took office, crime was rising across the board, and officers were leaving the force. Today, under his leadership, crime rates are declining, the police force is being rebuilt, and the department is nearly finished with DOJ-mandated reforms. Additionally, the Albuquerque Community Safety (ACS) Department has helped free up police resources, enabling faster emergency response. We remain committed to ensuring every street in our city is safe.
- Homelessness: When Mayor Keller took office, Albuquerque had no city permanent shelter beds for the unhoused. Last year, his administration delivered a breakthrough, opening the Gateway System, which shelters 1,000 people each night. Now, Mayor Keller is doubling down by expanding housing units to get even more people off the streets.
- Visionary Revitalization: Seven years ago, there was no clear vision for Downtown, the Railyards, or expanding family-friendly activities. Today, that has changed. The CNM Railyards Media Academy is set to bring hundreds of students into the heart of our city every day. Downtown is experiencing a revival, with new restaurants, hotels, and vibrant developments. The Rail Trail will soon connect Albuquerque’s historic neighborhoods through a scenic pedestrian parkway that celebrates our city’s rich diversity. Meanwhile, Netflix continues to grow, employing thousands of local residents and solidifying Albuquerque’s place in the film industry.
- Financial Help and Housing for Families: Combined with nearly 3,000 new housing units, Mayor Keller led efforts to revamp regulations to make it easier to build casitas, renovate office buildings and convert old hotels into housing. Mayor Keller has built a system of support for families— from banking services to emergency food and clothing, to rental assistance and renter projections.
“Albuquerque has fought too hard for progress—we can’t let anyone take that away from us. We must continue to fight to make our city the place we know it can be–for all our families,” says Mayor Keller.
Mayor Keller is running a publicly financed campaign, ensuring he remains fully accountable to all the people of Albuquerque—not special interests. Residents can support his campaign through seed money donations of up to $250, showing that Albuquerque’s future is not for sale”
Mayor Tim Keller is 47 and he was born and raised in Albuquerque. He is a graduate of St Pius High and has an MBA from Harvard. His wife, Elizabeth Kisten Keller, holds a PhD and works in policy analysis at Los Alamos National Labs. The couple are raising two young children.
OTHER CANDIDATES
At least 5 other candidates have announced and have said they are running for Mayor. They are:
- Mayling Armijo, Democrat and former deputy county manager for Sandoval County. Albuquerque native Mayling Armijo is focused on tackling crime. Her experience consists of working as economic development director for Bernalillo County, the deputy county manager for Sandoval County and with the New Mexico Economic Development Department.
- Eddie Varela (72) a Republican retired firefighter. Varela said he wants to restore public safety, rebuild trust in the government and revitalize the economy.
- Eddy Aragon, a Republican conservative radio talk show host. Aragon ran for Mayor 4 years ago and came in third. He has told news outlets he is running but he has not registered as a candidate with the City Clerk as yet. Aragon is an extreme, right-wing conservative. Aragon is known for his sharp tongue approach on his radio programs that alienates both friends and foes alike.
- Republican Patrick Sais, (57) is listed on the City Clerks web site as running, but he has yet to formally announce. He ran for election to the New Mexico House of Representativesto represent District 26 in 2024 and lost in the general election on November 5, 2024. He is a small business owner, retired truck driver and school bus driver and he went to Albuquerque High School.
- Republican Darren White controversial former Bernalillo County Sheriff and former City Chief Public Safety Officer who “retired” from the city after he interfered with an APD investigation of his wife involved in an accident.
COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS
Mayor Tim Keller is heavily favored for election to a unprecedented third consecutive 4 year term. However, with at least five candidates running, its very likely there will be a run off if none of the candidates secure 50%, but that’s assuming all make the ballot and collect the required 3,000 qualifying nominating signatures. We can expect a brutal battle between highly progressive Democratic Mayor Tim Keller and MAGA extremists Eddy Aragon and Darren White who will try and force a runoff.
KELLER’S POWER OF INCUMBANCY
To complicate matters for Keller’s opponents, Mayor Keller has a built-in advantage called the power of incumbency with an existing campaign organization consisting of his 27 high paid Department Directors who he pays upwards of $150,000 or more that do not want to lose their jobs, the ability to raise large sums of campaign cash as he did as State Auditor, and a campaign manager who resorts to questionable slash and burn tactics to disparage opposition and win at any and all costs.
Keller will easily qualify for public financing of $755,946 as he has done before and then have measured finance committees raise an equivalent amount or more as he has done in his past two runs for Mayor. Keller also has a strangle hold on progressive Democrats who prefer to look the other way when it comes to his mismanagement of city hall and his and Chief Medina’s mismanagement of APD as Keller and Medina refuse to take any responsibility for what has happened under their tenure.
It’s more likely than not that the 2025 municipal election for Mayor will once again be a very low voter turnout for Mayor with less than 20% of those eligible to vote voting, again something that favors Mayor Keller.
KELLER’S BIGGEST PROBLEMS
Keller is favored to win despite having a disapproval rating of 40% and an approval rating of 33% as found by an Albuquerque Journal poll. The City’s Citizens Satisfaction survey released in August last year found that 63% of city residents reported do not feel the city is going in the right direction with only 31% say they are hopeful about the direction the city is going.
The same survey found 61% “disagree” and 35% “agree” that “the Albuquerque City Government is responsive to our community needs.” The Citizens Satisfaction survey found that 60% of the city residents “disagree” and 35% “agree” that the APD is doing a good job addressing property crime. The survey also found that 56% of city residents “disagree” and 39% “agree” that APD is doing a good job of addressing violent crime.
KELLER’S RECORD OF FAILURE
The biggest problem Keller has for his re-election is that during his two terms, he has been a major failure if not an outright disaster when it comes to city management, policy and addressing the city’s complex problems. His failure as Mayor is the likely reason there are 5 candidates running against him. Thus far the candidates running against Keller state the obvious problems the city is facing such as crime is out of control and the homeless have taken over the city but they offer no real solutions. Keller did the exact same thing when he ran for mayor the first time seven years ago, but now he must run on his own record.
Seven years ago when Keller first ran and became Mayor, he proclaimed violent crime was out of control, that he could get it down and that he would increase APD sworn from the then 850 to 1,200. Violent crime continues to spike and is out of control seven years later with APD currently at 750 sworn officers. The city’s ongoing homicide and violent crime rates continue to be at historical highs and people simply do not feel safe in their homes as the fentanyl crisis surges. APD ranks number one in police killings of citizens in the top 50 largest cities in the country.
Mayor Keller and Chief Harold Medina have seriously mismanaged the ongoing train wreck known as the Albuquerque Police Department with the department still dangerously understaffed at about 750 to 800 cops despite seven years of increased budgets, salary increases and lucrative bonus pay. Keller has literally thrown money at the problem. This coming from the Mayor who promised 1,200 cops during his first term. During a recent APD Academy graduation, Keller promised 1,000 cops by the end of the year which is not at all likely given expected retirements.
Then there is the largest bribery and corruption case in APD’s history with 14 APD Officers implicated and 3 who have been federally charged and who have plead guilty to federal bribery and conspiracy charges involving the dismissal of hundreds of DWI cases for bribes. The former APD officers face up to 130 years in prison. Both Keller and Chief Medina have failed to take any responsibility for what happened under their watch as they deflect and blame others. They both have blamed the Court’s, the DAs Office and the Public Defenders for the DWI dismissals.
Keller has spent over $300 million in the last 4 years on homeless shelters, programs, and the city purchasing and remodeling motels for low-income housing. The recent annual Point In Time homeless survey count found an 18% increase in the homeless with upwards of 3,000 chronic homeless. It was reported 75% refuse city services. Despite Keller’s spending efforts to assist the unhoused, the city’s homeless numbers continue to spike as the crisis worsens, as the unhoused refuse services and as they take over our streets.
The $300 million spent to help 3,000 to 5,000 homeless with 75% refusing services would have gone a long way to finance community centers, senior citizen centers, police and fire substations, preschool or after school programs, senior citizen programs, and police and fire programs. Keller has allowed the unhoused to proliferate city streets, parks and open space declining to aggressively enforce city and state vagrant laws and make arrests. Keller allowed Corando Park to become the city’s de facto city sanction homeless encampment before he declared it to be the most dangerous place in the state forgetting it was he who sanctioned it and then he was forced to close it down because of out-of-control violent crime and illicit drug use.
Keller’s “ABQ Housing Forward Plan” to increase affordable housing was nothing more than a politcal rues relying on the city’s housing shortage. His original announced goal was for the city to have 5,000 additional affordable housing units to be added to the market by 2025 but he fell short by 3,000. Keller pushed mandating “safe outdoor spaces” approved exclusively by the planning department for the unhoused in all 9 city council districts over objections of neighborhoods. Keller wanted to double or triple the city’s density by allowing casitas and duplex development in existing neighborhoods by eliminating the rights of appeal by objecting to neighborhood associations and adjoining property owners.
Keller’s “Housing Forward Plan” makes gentrification an official city policy that caters to developers and the NAIOP crowd at the expense of neighborhoods and property rights. It will not increase affordable housing. It will allow developers and investors to destroy existing neighborhoods for the sake of making a development buck and increasing density in established neighborhoods and destroying their original character.
Keller also supports recent amendments to the city’s zoning laws know as the Integrated Development Ordinance. Those changes reduce or totally eliminate Neighborhood Associations and adjoining property owners’ rights of standing to appeal developments. In the limited instances where they can appeal a development and they lose the appeal, the changes require them to pay the attorney’s fees of the defending developer when before both sides would assume their own attorney fees and costs.
Keller has also refused to hold Chief Medina accountable for a vehicle crash where Medina negligently plowed into another driver putting the driver in the hospital in critical condition. Medina admitted to violating state law when he failed to have his body camera on during an incident that preceded the crash.
After the crash, Keller called Medina “arguably the most important person right now in these times in our city.” Medina’s appointed crash review board declared the crash as “non avoidable” even after Medina admitted to causing the crash. Medina was given a slap on the wrist with letters of reprimand. The City and Medina have been sued by the other driver and the case is still pending and will likely result in a significant judgement being paid for Medina’s negligent driving and his running of a red light. Medina claims he will retire in December and Keller claims he will find a new Chief, but don’t believe them. They are too much tied to the hip.
FINAL COMMENTARY
Simply put, Albuquerque needs a new Mayor. Keller is completing 8 years as Mayor and he is still struggling with the very issues he dealt with 8 years ago: high violent crime rates, drugs, the homeless and a corrupt APD. Things have not gotten any better under his leadership and some would say we are even worse off today than we were when he was first elected in 2017.
The problem is those running do not have the credentials, or the gravitas to be Mayor and they are more interested in hyperbole and disruption, much like Donald Trump. Darren White and Eddy Aragon are two such candidates who are more mouth than substance.
Eight years of Tim Keller as Mayor has been more than enough. But those who are running against him now will likely be even worse. Some may not even make it on the ballot by not collecting the 3,000 required nominating signatures and more likely will not secure the required 3,000 five dollar donations for public finance. They do not have the gravitas to be Mayor meaning understanding the seriousness of purpose of being Mayor, background, credentials and the importance of manner causing a feeling of respect and trust from others.
Voters can and must do better. The City will do better with a new Mayor but that will happen only if other more qualified candidates who can mount a successful campaign are recruited to run. The business community, civic organizations, neighborhood associations and concerned citizens in general should go out of their way do what they can to recruit qualified candidates to run. Otherwise, we will have another 4 years of disastrous policies, either under Keller or one of the others now running, and we will only have ourselves to blame.
The Exploratory Period for Mayor began on March 3, 2025 and ends on April 19, 2025. Hopefully, better qualified candidates will emerge. The 2025 municipal election is scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 4 and the offices of Mayor and 5 city council races will also be on the ballot.
The postscript below gives the dates and deadlines to run for Mayor.
____________________________________________
POSCRIPT
The following is what is required to qualify and run for Mayor with links to City Clerks web pages:
QUALIFYING TIME PERIODS
The Exploratory Period for Mayor begins on March 3, 2025 and ends on April 19, 2025.
March 3 is the first day of the “Public Financing Exploratory Period” for Mayoral Candidates. The Exploratory Period begins on March 3 and ends on April 18. March 3 is also the first day or Mayoral Candidates to submit Declaration of Intent to seek public financing.
The Seed Money Period for candidates for Mayor, or the time to begin collecting exploratory contributions, to collect at least is from March 3, 2025 to April 18, 2025.
In order to File the Declaration of Intent, the applicant candidate for public finance must schedule an appointment with the City Clerk at least one day prior to filing. The Clerk will review the public finance process with the applicant candidate and provide the Declaration of Intent for public financing.
The Qualifying Period for candidates for Mayor to collect 3,780 qualifying donations of $5.00 from Albuquerque registered voters for public financing is from April 19, 2025 to June 21, 2025.
The Petition Period for candidates for Mayor to collect 3,000 or more signatures from Albuquerque registered voters is from April 19, 2025 to June 21, 2025.
SEED MONEY CONTRIBUTION LIMITS
From March 3, to June 21, candidates for Mayor are allowed to collect seed money contributions of $250 per person for an aggregate of $151,189.
https://www.cabq.gov/vote/candidate-information/publicly-financed-candidates
QUALIFYING PERIOD SIGNATURES AND QUALIFYING DONATIONS
The qualifying period for candidates for Mayor who are both publicly and privately finance candidates to collect qualifying petition signatures is from April 19, at 8:00am to June 21, 2025 at 5:00pm.
The qualifying period for candidates for Mayor who are publicly financed candidates to collect 3,780 qualifying donations of $5.00 each and to receive $755,946 in public finance from the city is from April 19, at 8:00am – June 21, 2025, at 5:00pm.
Privately financed candidates can commence collecting donations on April 19 and do so up an until election day of November 5.
https://www.cabq.gov/vote/candidate-information/publicly-financed-candidates
QUALIFYING PETITION SIGNATURES
Candidates for Mayor must gather more than 3,000 signatures from registered voters only who reside within the Albuquerque City limits. Petions are given to candidates and the qualifying signatures can only be collected from April 19, 2025, at 8:00am – June 21, 2025, at 5:00pm to qualify to be placed on the November 4 ballot.
https://www.cabq.gov/vote/candidate-information/publicly-financed-candidates
PUBLIC FINANCED CANDIDATE
Candidates for Mayor who seek public financing must collect Qualifying Contributions of $5.00 each from 1% of the registered voters which in 2025 is 3,780 qualifying donations of $5.00 each. Upon collecting the 3,780 verified qualifying $5.00 donations, the qualifying candidate will be given $755,946.00 by the city in public financing. A candidate who qualifies for the public financing must agree in writing to a spending cap of $755,946 and failure to adhere to the spending cap mandates a full refund and removal from office if elected.
https://www.cabq.gov/vote/candidate-information/publicly-financed-candidates
NO FUNDRAISING OR SPENDING LIMITS FOR PRIVATELY FINANCE CANDATES
Unlike publicly financed candidates, who may only spend the funds given to them by the City and agreeing to a spending cap, privately financed candidates have no fundraising or spending limits. There are, however, limits on individual contributions. Specifically, Article XIII, Section 4(d) limits the total contributions, including in-kind contributions, from any one person (with the exception of the candidate himself or herself).
The following limits per individual or corporation or entity are in effect:
“Limits to Contributions. No privately financed candidate shall, for any one election, allow total contributions, including in-kind contributions, from any one person with the exception of contributions from the candidate themselves of more $6,000 for Mayoral Candidates.”
https://www.cabq.gov/vote/candidate-information/publicly-financed-candidates
IN-KIND CONTRIBUTION LIMITS
Candidates for Mayor can accept individual in-kind contributions of up to $2,500 for a total aggregate of $75, 594.60.
https://www.cabq.gov/vote/candidate-information/publicly-financed-candidates