“I Am Now Your Worst Nightmare”; Keller And APD Medina Taken To Task Over 4 Police Officers Shot; APD Unable To Do Its Job With Too Few Assigned to Field Services; 61 Sworn Police Assigned To DOJ Compliance; A Failure By Keller and Medina To Manage APD Personnel Resources

On Thursday, August 19, 4 Albuquerque Police Officers were injured following a shooting in northeast Albuquerque. The shooting happened as the 4 officers responded to a robbery by the Dutch Bros. near Mountain and Juan Tabo. All 4 of the injured officers have each been with APD for more than 10 years. The 4 officers identified are:

Officer Mario Verbeck: It was Verbeck who dispatched to the call. He was shot in the neck and arm. On Thursday, September 2, 2021, he was released from the hospital to return to his family and continue his recovery at home. Officer Verbeck is a a 17-year veteran with the department and joined the department in 2004.

Officer James Eichel Jr.: Eichel was sent to assist Verbeck on the call. He was shot in the forearm and is still hospitalized. He has been with APD since 2009.

Officer Harry Gunderson: He was struck in the eye by shrapnel. He has been with the department since 2004.

Sgt. Sean Kenny: He was shot in his bulletproof vest, sustained minor injuries and was released from the hospital. He has been with APD since 1999.

James Ramirez, who is accused of shooting Mario Verbeck was arrested and is is behind bars.

A REMARKABLE PRESS CONFERENCE

On September 6, a remarkable press conference was held in front of the old City Hall Building organized by the Fraternal Order of Police (FOP). Tryna Verbeck, the wife of one of the 4 APD officers injured called out Albuquerque Mayor Tim Keller and Police Chief Harold Medina as being “equally accountable” for her husband’s shooting. Tryna Verbeck, the wife of APD Police Officer Mario Verbeck, accompanied by others, including APD Officer James Eichel who was also shot and now in a left arm sling, stood stoically by her side as she read a statement.

In a very emotional and angry statement, Tryna Verbeck had this to say:

“I am here to let people know that I am now your worst nightmare. You will not use my husband or the other officers as your political backdrop. … APD is a family as much as it is a police department but under your direction [Mayor Keller and Chief Medina], APD has fallen apart. Staffing is a joke as there are more officers doing non-police work than responding to calls. When my husband was on duty at the time of the shooting, there were only five officers on-patrol in my husband’s squad in the Foothills area and four of them were shot.”

APD CHIEF HAROLD MEDINA RESPONDS

Chief Medina released a lengthy statement in response to the press conference. Following are the most pertinent remarks relevant to this blog article:

“There is no doubt that morale among officers was impacted by several issues and events over the past year-and-a-half – from the anti-police protests in 2020, to the challenges of the pandemic and the struggles resulting from mandates by the DOJ settlement. As a result, we have lost officers to retirement or decisions to leave the profession. Those losses compounded the problem of not being fully staffed, even though we have hired hundreds of new officers.

I expressed many of those concerns to the DOJ and the monitors. The pendulum has swung too far in the wrong direction where officers do not feel supported, or that they can do their jobs effectively and safely in all situations. At the same time, we can’t simply move every officer to patrol the streets, as some have suggested. I don’t have the authority to defy a court order. But we have to be honest about the reality we face. My responsibility is to the people of Albuquerque who want us to fight crime while protecting the rights of all individuals.
… . “

MAYOR TIM KELLER RESPONDS

In response Tryna Verbeck, Mayor Keller released the following statement:

“APD has been under intense pressure to change as a result of the DOJ settlement agreement, the time pressures from ever-changing court rules, and the shortage of officers that persists despite all of our hiring. Officers feel that pressure every day. We started the Metro Crime Initiative to pull everyone together to fix these system-wide problems. We have also expressed our concerns to the DOJ, the court monitors and the federal delegation because we can’t continue to improve if officers do not feel supported. … we have increased funding to APD each year because we know that our community is safer and officers can make better choices with good technology and adequate staffing.”

Keller’s and Medina’s full statements can be found at the links to news coverage here:

https://www.krqe.com/news/albuquerque-metro/i-am-now-your-worst-nightmare-wife-of-apd-officer-addresses-mayor-police-chief/

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/wife-of-injured-apd-officer-issues-statement-calling-out-city-officials/6229271/?cat=500

https://www.abqjournal.com/2426758/shot-officers-wife-blames-mayor-apd-chief.html

MANDATED SETTLEMENT REFORMS AND STAFFING LEVELS REQUIRED

At the center of the statements issued by Mayor Keller and Chief Medina in response to Tryna Verbeck are the mandates of the Court Approved Settlement Agreement (CASA) and APD staffing. For that reason, both the reforms mandated and staffing levels under the settlement need to be addressed.

CASA REFORMS

On November 10, 2014 the city and the Department of Justice entered into the Court Approved Settlement Agreement (CASA) that mandates 271 major reforms, The link to the 106-page negotiated CASA agreement can be found at this link:

https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/crt/legacy/2014/11/12/apd_agreement-11-10-14.pdf

There are 16 Major reform mandates under the Court Approved Settlement Agreement (CASA) settlement and they are:

1. Sweeping changes ranging from APD’s SWAT team protocols, to banning choke-holds, to auditing the use of every Taser carried by officers and re writing and implement new use of force and deadly force policies.

2. The CASA mandates the teaching of “constitutional policing” practices and methods as well as mandatory crisis intervention techniques and de-escalation tactics with the mentally ill.

3. The City agreed that APD would overhaul and rewrite all of its “use of force policies” and “deadly force” policies, recruitment procedures, training, internal affairs procedures and implement field supervision of officers.

4. Stricter training and restrictions on the use of nonlethal force is required under the CASA, and it requires more training and controls over the use of Tasers by officers along with quarterly audits of their use.

5. The city agreed to the creation of a Police Oversight Board (POB) as a civilian review agency that independently reviews citizen complaints, serious uses of force and officer-involved shootings by APD. The civilian agency also monitors, reviews and make recommended changes to APD policy on use of force.

6. Under the CASA, the city agreed to the creation of Police Civilian Advisory Councils (CPCs), one in each of the 6 APD area commands, designed to increase community interaction.

7. The CASA broadens and removes obstacles to the types of civilian complaints Internal Affairs and the civilian oversight agency can review.

8. The CASA provides for the appointment of a Federal Court Monitor selected by agreement of the parties with the City to pay for the auditing services of the federal monitor. The primary duties and responsibilities of the federal monitor is to report directly to the federal judge on APD’s compliance with the mandatory reforms.

9. The agreement mandates that APD adopt a new system to hold officers and supervisors accountable for all use of force incidents with personnel procedures implemented and outlining details how use of force cases would be investigated. It requires far more reporting by officers and field supervisors and also requires detailed reviews of those reports up the chain of command within the department. Sergeants and lieutenants are required to be much more involved in field supervision and review of use of force by officers.

10. Under the agreement, officers who point their firearms at a person, but don’t fire, must fill out a use of force report that will be reviewed by field supervisors. That review is separate from a city civilian police oversight agency that will be independent of the department and will review police use of force incidents as well as civilian complaints.

11. The City agreed to create a new “Use of Force Review Board” to oversee all internal affairs investigations of use of force and deadly force. A new chain of command for the review of Internal Affairs reports of officer-involved shootings was created that reviews the Internal Affairs Reports and makes recommendations on discipline or asks for further investigation of an incident, and the board makes recommendations on discipline to the APD Chief. The Use of Force Board is required to make quarterly reports after reviewing all use of force reports to identify trends and policy changes.

12. APD agreed to revise and update its policies on the mandatory use of lapel cameras by all police officers.

13. Under the CASA, the City agreed to abolish the Repeat Offenders Project, known as ROP, within three months of signing the agreement for the reason that members of the unit were involved in a number of the controversial shootings investigated by the DOJ.

14. The agreement provides that if the city fails to implement the reforms or shows bad faith in the implementation of the CASA, the DOJ has the option of filing a federal lawsuit against the city over the city’s unconstitutional policing practices found by the DOJ investigation.

15. Certain types of hand-to-hand techniques are barred under the CASA unless the officer is in a situation that require the use of lethal force if it were available. Neck holds, sometimes called choke-holds, are explicitly forbidden to be used by officers except in situations where lethal force would be authorized.

16. A major change in the CASA bans APD officers from firing their weapons at moving vehicles in all but life-threatening situations.

APD STAFFING

It is section IX of the CASA that addresses APD’s staffing levels.

Paragraph 203 of the settlement states:

“To maintain high-level, quality service; to ensure officer safety and accountability; and to promote constitutional, effective policing, the City shall ensure that APD has the staffing necessary to implement the terms of this Agreement. APD shall also deploy a sufficient number of first-line supervisors to respond to scenes of uses of force; investigate thoroughly each use of force to identify, correct, and prevent misconduct; and provide close and effective supervision necessary for officers to improve and develop professionally. APD shall revise and implement policies for supervision that set out clear requirements for supervision and comport with best practices.”

Paragraph 204, under the heading STAFFING, states as follows:

“A. Staffing. In order to successfully implement the provisions of this Agreement, APD shall assess the appropriate number of sworn and civilian personnel to perform the different Department functions necessary to fulfill its mission. APD therefore shall conduct a comprehensive staffing assessment and resource study. The study shall be the predicate for determining appropriate staffing and resource levels that are consistent with community-oriented policing principles and support the systematic use of partnerships and problem-solving techniques. The study shall also consider the distribution of officers to patrol functions as opposed to specialized units, as well as the distribution of officers with less than three years of experience across shifts and Area Commands.”

Page 66, Settlement Agreement, with the link here:

https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/crt/legacy/2014/11/12/apd_agreement-11-10-14.pdf

EDITOR’S NOTE: The Court Approved Settlement Agreement has absolutely no specific or minimum number of staffing requirements. It says APD needs to fund and hire a sufficient number of sworn police to carry out its function. In other words, it is totally up to and the responsibility for APD and its management to adequately staff the department. Nowhere does the settlement agreement mandate the creation of an entire Compliance Bureau. Mayor Tim Keller, ostensibly overreacting to a recommendation from the Federal Monitor, ordered APD to create a Compliance Bureau. The bureau consists of 1 Deputy Chief, 3 Commanders, 1 Deputy Commander, 6 Lieutenants, and 10 Sergeants and 40 detectives for a total of 69 sworn police to perform oversight functions. The number of personnel assigned to the Compliance Bureau is at the discretion of the Chief and indirectly the city’s Chief Administrative Officer and the Mayor.

On December 11, 2015, the 62 page “Albuquerque Police Department Comprehensive Staffing Assessment and Resource Study” was released by the Alexander Weiss Consulting, LLC.

You can review the 2015 staffing report at this link:

https://www.cabq.gov/police/documents/monthly-reports/comprehensive-staffing-assessment-and-resource-study.pdf

The December 11, 2015 APD staffing report concluded 1,000 sworn police officers were sufficient for Albuquerque provided that APD officers did not respond to certain low priority calls such as minor traffic accidents or false alarm calls. In 2009, APD was staffed with 1,100 sworn police, but from 2009 to 2017, the department dwindle to 860 sworn police.

APD upper command for the last 11 years has insisted that APD need upwards of 1,200 sworn police to do its job and for Community Base policing. For the last 12 years, APD has failed to recruit and hire enough officers to keep the department at the current funding levels.

CURRENT APD PERSONNEL NUMBERS AND APPROVED BUDGET

At the very core of what Tryna Verbeck had to say to Mayor Keller and the Chief Medina is the fact that APD’s poor staffing levels contributed to the shootings and that field officers are overwhelmed to the point they can not do their jobs. Current staffing levels as well arrest numbers support her accusations as being 100% accurate.

During the February 8, 2021, City Council Public Safety Committee, then Interim Chief Harold Medina reported that APD had 957 sworn police. Of the 957 sworn police, Medina reported a mere 371 sworn police were in Field Services responding to calls for service or 39% of the entire sworn force. The 371 sworn police taking calls for service were spread out over 3 shifts and 8 area commands to patrol and based on crime rates in the areas. Medina also told the committee that Field Services has 6 area commanders, 18 lieutenants, 53 sergeants’, 21 bicycle officers for a total of 511 officers assigned to field services. The problem is commanders, lieutenants, sergeants, and bicycle officers do not patrol the streets and are not dispatched to calls for service as are the field officers.

https://www.abqreport.com/single-post/zero-growth-for-apd

Fast forward to August, 2021 and after the 2021-2022 APD budget was approved. APD is the largest budget department in the city. APD’s approved general fund operating 2022 budget is upwards of $222 million. The 2022 approved APD operating budget has funding for 1,100 sworn positions and 592 civilian support positions for a total of 1,692 full-time positions. It also includes funding for new positions, including 11 investigators to support internal affairs and the department’s reform obligations under the Federal Court Approved Settlement Agreement, and two communications staffers.

Notwithstanding the approved funding for 1,100 sworn police the number of police officers patrolling the street of Albuquerque is dangerously low. As of July 24, 2021, APD has 940 sworn police according to city personnel records, but only 369 are actually patrolling the streets of the city. The 369 filed service officers are divided into 6 area commands and 3 separate shifts.

APD DWINDLES TO 940 SWORN POLICE AS OF JULY 24 WITH 363 IN FIELD SERVICES

According to a recent ABQReport, police officers are leaving APD in droves and either moving on to other departments or just simply retiring. The total number of APD full time sworn police officers has dwindled from 998 at the end of March of 2021 to 940 as of July 24, 2021 with the department losing 58 officers in a 4-month span. APD continues to lose officers at an alarming rate.

In June, APD announced the list for police uniform officer’s bids for shifts. These are the field officers who are dispatched by 911 and who respond to calls for service and who also patrol the streets of Albuquerque. It is field officers that are the backbone of APD and who patrol the city streets, 7 days a week and assigned to the 6 area commands in 3 shifts. On the date the first bid list was produced, APD had a disappointing 376 officers who made bids. Since June the number reduced to 363 officers, a reduction of 13 officers in just a month.

The link to the full ABQReport is here:

https://www.abqreport.com/single-post/apd-officer-shortage-worsens

APD 2021-2022 APPROVED BUDGET

On May 17, the Albuquerque City Council voted unanimously to approve the 2021-2022 city budget of $1.2 billion, $711.5 million of which is the General Fund. With 27 different departments, the city employs upwards of 6,400 full time employees to provide the essential services city wide. The Albuquerque Police Department (APD) is the largest budget department in the city. APD’s approved 2022 general fund operating budget is upwards of $222 million, or roughly 4.5% higher than fiscal year 2021 levels.

The 2021-2022 APD Budget provides funding for 1,100 sworn positions and 592 civilian support positions for a total of 1,692 full-time positions. It also includes funding for new positions, including 11 investigators to support internal affairs and the department’s reform obligations under the Federal Court Approved Settlement Agreement. APD has 998 sworn officers after the March graduation of cadets from the APD academy, but is down to 987. Last year’s budget also had funding for 1,100 officers, but APD has failed over the last 7 years to reach budgeted staffing levels.

Major highlights of the 2021-2022 approved APD budget include:

$2.3 million in funding to annualize funding for 44 additional sworn officer positions added in FY/21.
$1.6 million for a net increase of 20 full-time positions. 11 investigator positions are funded to support internal affairs and compliance with the Department of Justice.
$800,000 for the Department of Justice Independent Federal Monitor required under the Court Approved Settlement Agreement that is still pending after 6 years.
$986,000 thousand for electronic control weapons (TAZER weapons) as mandated by the CASA.
$400,000 for the Use of Force Review contract. This funding is for the External Force Investigation Team.

A major failure identified by the Federal Monitor was that APD’s Internal Affairs (IA) was not properly investigating serious use of force instances by APD police officers. On February 26, 2021 a stipulated order creating the new EFIT unit was entered into by the parties. The EFIT is an additional layer of review of uses of force cases by APD sworn. The EFIT team will train APD Internal Affairs (IA) investigators on how to properly investigate uses of force instances by APD police officers. The City agreed that at least 25 force investigators would be assigned to the APD Internal Affairs until APD demonstrates that fewer investigators are necessary to timely investigate uses of force by APD Officers.

COMPLIANCE BUREAU STAFFING AND FUNDING FOR APD REFORMS

APD’s approved budgets for the last 2 years contains a “line item” appropriation identified as “PD-PROFESSIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY” which is essentially a consolidation reference to all of APD’s Department of Justice compliance functions. The biggest responsibilities of the Compliance Bureau is the ongoing cooperation and working with the Department of Justice (DOJ) consent decree (CASA) and its implementation of its terms and conditions.

The Compliance Bureau consists of the Internal Affairs Professional Standards Division (IA), Policy and Procedure Division, Accountability and Oversight Division, Internal Affairs Force Division and the Behavioral Health and Crisis Intervention Section and includes funding for training provided by the APD Academy for constitutional policing practices mandated under the CASA.

Internal Affairs (IA) deals with investigation police misconduct cases, including excessive use of force. Crisis Intervention deals with the crisis intervention teams who deal with the mentally ill and police encounters. Policy and Procedures deals with the review and writing of standard operating procedures that must comply with the CASA reforms.

It was last year’s 2020-2021 Fiscal Year approved general fund budget that revealed the actual number of sworn police officers dedicated to compliance with the DOJ mandated reforms. The 2020-2021 fiscal year budget for APD contains a line item of $29,280,000 for “PD-PROFESSIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY” which is funding for APD’s Compliance Bureau and Internal Affairs responsible for overseeing APD sworn police and ensure compliance with the court order reforms.

According to an August 1, 2019 “Staffing Snapshot”, the Compliance Bureau has total staffing of 61 sworn police consisting of 40 Detectives, 1 Deputy Chief, 3 Commanders, 1 Deputy Commander, 6 Lieutenants, and 10 Sergeants.

In addition to the $29,280,000 line item allocation, last year’s 2020-2021 APD approved budget included:

$5.2 million for continued work to comply with the Court Approved Settlement Agreement with the Department of Justice, which is funding for the Federal Monitor.
$627,000 to acquire electronic control weapons that have an audit trail to monitor usage and compliance with use of force policies.
$594,000 to purchase on-body cameras, as required by the CASA and state law.

STATISTICS CONFIRM ARRESTS DOWN DRAMATICALLY BECAUSE OF LACK OF FIELD OFFICERS

Each year, the City of Albuquerque City Council reviews and approves the city budget. The budgets are prepared by the Mayor and released each year on April 1st. From April 1 to June 30, the City Council are required to conduct budget hearings and must adopt a city budget that is in effect from July 1 to June 30, with each fiscal year budget adopted referred to as the following year fiscal year budget. On May 21, 2021, the city council enacted the 2022 city budget that became effective on July 1, 2021 and ends June 30, 2022.

The City of Albuquerque budget is what is referred to as a performance-based budget. The City’s budget is formulated in two parts: 1. A financial plan and 2. Performance plan. The Financial Plan is organized by department budgets and funds, and program strategy. Funds are groupings of related accounts that are used to maintain control over resources that have been segregated for specific activities.

https://www.cabq.gov/dfa/budget

When it comes to APD, statistics are compiled in areas that reflect performance and outcomes aimed at influencing the larger outcomes and goals that APD is striving to achieve. The performance measures are absolutely critical in order for the City Council to understand fully the shortcomings and strengths of APD and make critical budget decisions. Without such statics, budget review and decisions are done in the dark and in a real sense become useless, become an exercise in futility and the city council is relegated to rubber stamping whatever budget is presented to them.

APD statistics are compiled in areas that reflect performance and outcomes aimed at influencing the larger outcomes and goals that APD is striving to achieve. The performance measures capture APD’s ability to perform the services at the highest level achieved from the previous year.

There are 5 major statistical calculations that go to the very core of any police department and its effectiveness. Those are:

1. Calls for service handled by police
2. Response Times
3. The number of arrests made each year
4. The number of sworn police employed to carry out the mission to serve and protect the public.
5. The number of arrests

Following is an analysis of each category:

CALLS FOR SERVICE

For the Fiscal Years of F/Y 14 to F/Y 20 the total number of calls for service were:

FY/14 # of Calls for service: 518,553
FY/15 # of Calls for service: 518,751
FY/16 # of Calls for service: 547,854
FY/17 # of Calls for service: 564,610
FY/18 # of Calls for service: 580,303
FY/19 # of Calls for service: 543,574
FY/20 # of Calls for service: 524,286

APD’S RESPONSE TIMES INCREASE 93% SINCE 2011

A February 20th KOAT TV Target 7 investigation into the Albuquerque Police Department’s (APD’s) response times revealed an alarming level of time it takes APD to respond to 911 emergency calls. The longer the time it takes for APD to respond to priority 1 calls has a major impact on increasing the likelihood physical injury and perhaps even death. It was reported that it takes APD 23 minutes longer to get to an emergency call than it did 8 years ago. According to the report, there has been an astonishing 93% increase since 2011 with response times getting worse every year since. In 2011, the average response time to all calls, whether it was a life-or-death emergency or a minor traffic crash was 25 minutes. In 2019, that time period spiked to 48 minutes in the average response time.

The link to the full KOAT TV Target 7 report is here:

https://www.koat.com/article/apd-response-times-continue-to-climb/31028667

On August 11, 2021, KOB 4 did a report on APD response times. KOB 4 requested the response times from APD management for Priority 1 calls over the last few years. Priority 1 calls are calls made to 911 and include shootings, stabbings, armed robberies, sexual and aggravated assaults, domestic violence with weapons involved and home invasions. According to the data reviewed the time it takes a dispatch APD officer to get to a crime scene stayed relatively consistent between January 2018 to May 2021. The response time data obtained by KOB 4 revealed some drastic differences in recent years. In 2018, clearing a crime scene ranged from an hour to 1 hour and 12 minutes. Fast forward to 2021 and APD is averaging more than 2 hours to write reports, gather evidence and interview witnesses, or a full 1 hour longer than three years ago.

The link to the full KOB 4 report is here:

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/abq-4ward-examining-apds-response-times/6204745/?cat=500

The biggest reasons for the dramatic increase in APD response times is the reduction in the number of sworn police patrolling city streets with a corresponding increase in calls for service and 911 emergency calls. Not at all surprising is that when you examine APD’s manpower levels over the past 10 years, response times were quicker when there were more sworn police assigned to the field services and more arrests were being made.

NUMBER OF ARRESTS AND NUMBER OF SWORN PERSONNEL

When it comes to APD, arrest are broken down into 3 major categories: Felony Arrests, Misdemeanor Arrests and DWI Arrests. The number of Felony Arrest, Misdemeanor Arrests and DWI Arrests and sworn police for APD over the last 7 years can be gleaned from all the fiscal year budgets.

For the Fiscal Years of F/Y 14 to F/Y 20 the total number of arrests in each of the 3 major categories and the sworn police who were employed in all capacities and positions are as follows:

FY/14 Arrests: Felony 9,507, Misdemeanor 27,127, DWI 2,704, #Total Sworn: 913
FY/15 Arrests: Felony 9,049, Misdemeanor 22,639, DWI 2,213, #Total Sworn: 879
FY/16 Arrests: Felony 8,744, Misdemeanor 19,857, DWI 1,720, #Total Sworn: 833
FY/17 Arrests: Felony 9,527, Misdemeanor 18,562, DWI 1,338, #Total Sworn: 870
FY/18 Arrests: Felony 11,257, Misdemeanor 19,923, DWI 1,403, #Total Sworn: 941
FY/19 Arrests: Felony 10,945, Misdemeanor 19,440, DWI 1,788, #Total Sworn: 924
FY/20 Arrests: Felony 6,621, Misdemeanor 16,520, DWI 1,230, #Total Sworn: 1,004

The links to the approved city budgets from 2007 to 2022 that contain the statistics can be found here: https://www.cabq.gov/dfa/budget/annual-budget

According to APD’s approved 2021-2022 budget, in 2019 APD had 924 full time police. In 2020 APD had 1,004 sworn police or 80 more sworn in 2020 than in 2019, yet arrests went down during the first year of the pandemic and crime rates continued to rise.

As of July 24, 2021, APD has 940 sworn police according to city personnel records, but only 369 are field officers patrolling the streets of the city. The 369 filed service officers are divided into 6 area commands and 3 separate shifts. According to an August 2 KOAT TV news report, APD patrol staffing is as follows:

369 patrol officers, for six area commands and 3 shifts
59 patrol sergeants
18 lieutenants
18 – 22 bike officers

https://www.koat.com/article/400-apd-patrol-cops-albuquerque-police-department/37203121

2020 – 2021 MIDYEAR STATISTICS RELEASED

On August 31, 2021, the Albuquerque Police Department (APD) released crime stats for the first six months of 2021 with a comparison to the first six months of 2020. APD’s crime statistics released used the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) which APD has now used for the 4th year in a row. NIBRS is the new system the FBI will require of all police departments use in their annual reports starting in 2021.

Prior to the use of NIBRS, APD used the SRS reporting system which had only the 8 general categories of Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter, Forcible Rape, Robbery, Aggravated Assault, Burglary, Larceny-theft, Motor Vehicle Theft and Arson

NIBRS SYSTEM EXPLAINED

Starting in January 2021, the FBI is requiring crimes to be counted through the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS). In NIBRS, there are 3 major reporting broad categories.

The 3 major categories are:

CRIMES AGAINST PERSONS include murder, rape, and assault, and are those in which the victims are always individuals.
CRIMES AGAINST PROPERTY include robbery, bribery, and burglary, or to obtain money, property, or some other benefit.
CRIMES AGAINST SOCIETY include gambling, prostitution, and drug violations, and represent society’s prohibition against engaging in certain types of activity and are typically victimless crimes.

The 3 major NIBRS categories are broken down into 52 sub-categories. NIBRS counts virtually all crimes committed during an incident. NIMRS is far more sophisticated than the “most serious incident-based” reporting

“In the National Incident-Based Reporting System” (NIBRS), each offense reported is either a Group A or Group B offense type. There are 23 Group A offense categories, comprised of 52 Group A offenses and 10 Group B offense categories. Law enforcement agencies report Group A offenses as part of a NIBRS incident report, but they report only arrest data for Group B offenses.

A link to a complete guide to the NIBRS crime reporting system is here:

https://ucr.fbi.gov/nibrs/nibrs_dcguide.pdf

The statistics released on August 31, 2021 by APD and reported to the FBI reported the first 6 months of 2021 against previous years. Overall, APD reported 31,438 crimes for the first half of 2021, down from 33,383 in the first half of 2020, a 9% year-over-year decrease. According to the mid-year 2021 statistics released, overall crime dropped 9% from 2020 and 20% since 2018.

Crimes Against Property which includes burglary, forgery, property destruction and breaking and entering, had some of the largest decreases. Property crime dropped 9%, violent crime increased 1% and “crimes against society,” which includes drug, weapon and prostitution offenses, increased by 8%. The increase in crimes against property is attributed to robberies and a huge increase in identity theft offenses which spiked by a whopping 330%, from 376 reports in 2020 to 1,619 for the first six months of this year.

The statistics for “crimes against persons” which includes murder, rape, and assault, reveals that for violent crime, aggravated assault went up 8%, nonnegligent murder went up 122% and there was an 11% increase in the forcible rape category. For the first six months of 2021, drug offenses went down 13% and prostitution offenses went down 60%. However, weapons law violations jumped 80%, from 408 to 734, leading to the highest midyear total since at least 2018. Those increases led to the three categories having their highest midyear totals since at least 2018.

2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 MID YEAR STATISTICS

There are 23 Group A offense categories which are the most serious offenses reported which are then broken down further into the 3 major categories. Following are the mid-year raw numbers for group A crimes in each of the 3 categories for the years 2018, 2019, and 2020:

2018 Mid-Year: 39,079
2019 Mid-Year: 34,652
2020 Mid-Year: 33,358
2021 MID-YEAR: 31,438

CRIMES AGAINST PROPERTY (Includes robbery, bribery, and burglary) midyear statistics are:

2018 Mid-Year: 29,576
2019 Mid-Year: 25,481
2020 Mid-Year: 24,221
2021 Mid-Year: 22,065

CRIMES AGAINST A PERSON (includes murder, rape, and assault) midyear statistics are:

2018 Mid-Year: 7,634
2019 Mid-Year: 7,383
2020 Mid-Year: 7,464
2021 Mid-Year: 7,532

CRIMES AGAINST SOCIETY (includes gambling, prostitution, and drug violations) midyear statistics are:

2018: Mid-Year: 1,869
2019: Mid-Year: 1,788
2020: Mid-Year: 1,698
2021: Mid-Year: 1,841

The links to 2018-2021 Mid-Year Crime Statistics are found here:

https://www.cabq.gov/police/documents/2018-2021-mid-year-crime-stats-final.pdf

https://www.cabq.gov/police/documents/apd-homicide-list-for-web-site-as-of-15feb2021.pdf

2022 ADOPTED APD BUDGET CONTAINS TOTAL ARRESTS FOR 2019 AND 2020

The City’s 2022 adopted budget contains APD’s arrests statistics for 2019 and 2020. APD’s budget is a performance-based budget and the department is required to submit a number of statistics to justify its budget. Arrest numbers for felonies, misdemeanors as well as DWI are reported in the budget. APD’s budget also outlines full time personnel and breaks it down between sworn and civilian employees.

The link to the budget is here:

https://documents.cabq.gov/budget/fy-22-proposed-budget.pdf

Following is the breakdown of arrest for the years 2019 and 2020:

NUMBER OF FELONY ARRESTS:

2019: 10,945
2020: 6,621
DOWN 39.51%

NUMBER OF MISDEMEANOR ARRESTS

2019: 19,440
2020: 16,520
DOWN 15%

NUMBER OF DWI ARRESTS

2019: 1,788
2020: 1,230
DOWN 26%

TOTAL NUMBER OF ARRESTS FOR 2019: 32,173
TOTAL NUMBER OF ARREST FOR 2020: 24,371
DOWN 25%

2022 APD Budget, page 151:

https://www.cabq.gov/dfa/documents/fy22-approved-budget-numbered-w-hyperlinks-final.pdf

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

APD Chief Harold Medina told Tryna Verbeck in part in response to her press conference:

“There is no doubt that morale among officers was impacted by several issues and events over the past year-and-a-half – from the anti-police protests in 2020, to the challenges of the pandemic and the struggles resulting from mandates by the DOJ settlement. … I expressed many of those concerns to the DOJ and the monitors. The pendulum has swung too far in the wrong direction where officers do not feel supported, or that they can do their jobs effectively and safely in all situations. At the same time, we can’t simply move every officer to patrol the streets, as some have suggested. I don’t have the authority to defy a court order.”

Absolutely no one is asking Chief Medina to defy a court order, but it is his department and he has complete management and control over it, the department’s $222 million dollar budget, all of its resources and personnel. Medina has the power to reorganize the department and make appropriate changes and assignment of personnel as he sees fit.

Instead of exercising that authority and managing the department he heads, Medina prefers to lay blame on the lack of personnel and the reforms. Chief Medina has been part of APD’s upper command staff, including being the Deputy Chief of Field Service dealing with personnel assigned to the field since the day Keller was sworn in as Mayor on December 1, 2017. For the past 4 years, Medina knew what was wrong with the staffing and assignment levels and yet did nothing other than to undermine former Chief Michael Geier in order to replace him.

Mayor Tim Keller told Tryna Verbeck in part in his written response to her press conference:

“APD has been under intense pressure to change as a result of the DOJ settlement agreement, the time pressures from ever-changing court rules, and the shortage of officers that persists despite all of our hiring. Officers feel that pressure every day. … We have also expressed our concerns to the DOJ, the court monitors and the federal delegation because we can’t continue to improve if officers do not feel supported. … .”

Mayor Tim Keller knew exactly what he was getting into 4 years ago. Keller was sworn in as Mayor on December 1, 2017 having been elected with a landslide promising to implement the DOJ reforms, increase the size of APD to 1,200, return to community-based policing and reducing our out-of-control violent crime rates. Keller even bragged that he was uniquely qualified to be Mayor and he obviously believed his rhetoric despite not having any law enforcement experience.

On March 15, 2018 newly elected Mayor Tim Keller appeared along with new Senior Public Safety Officer James B. Lewis, new interim Chief Michael Geier and new City Attorney Esteban Aguilar, Jr. before Federal Judge Robert Brack, the first judge assigned to oversee the consent decree. What was revealed for the first time was that Mayor Tim Keller reached out back in Decembe, 2017 and had meetings with the parties and the federal judge. Federal Judge Robert Brack said he was so impressed with the new administration’s commitment to the reform process that he decided to keep the case after he goes on Senior Status in November and not give it to another federal judge. What Keller told Brack in 2018 is that he campaigned on the reform issue, that he owned it and that he will be judged by the progress APD makes or doesn’t make during his term in office.

With their words and conduct, both Mayor Keller and Chief Medina are essentially blaming the pandemic as well as the DOJ consent decree for what is happening to APD. The blunt truth is that it’s their very poor job performance and management of APD over the last 4 years that is the actual cause.

A SHELL OF ITS FORMER SELF

It is painfully obvious that APD has become a mere shell of a once great law enforcement department. The downward spiral began in 2010 with 1,100 sworn police until it hit a low mark in 2017 with 850 sworn police. For the past 4 years, Mayor Tim Keller has attempted to grow the department to 1,200 essentially spinning his wheels and making very little progress with the number of sworn police. As of July 24, 2021 at 940 with a mere 363 sworn officers assigned to the field services to patrol the streets of Albuquerque. Keller has failed with APD and so has his two appointed police Chief’s, former Chief Michael Geier and now Chief Harold Medina.

Both Keller and Medina ostensibly do not know there is a correlation between the number of police, arrests and crime rates. According to a 2018 study entitled “More COPS, Less Crime” by Steven Mello with Princeton University there is a causal effect in police numbers and the reduction on crime rates. The study dealt with the federal grant programs known as COPs for police to finance police officers for communities. The study found that there is a direct correlation between an increase in the number of police and the decline in victimization.

According to the study, large and statistically significant effects of police numbers occur on robbery, larceny, and auto theft, with suggestive evidence that police reduce murders as well. Crime reductions associated with additional police were more pronounced in areas most affected by the Great Recession. The results highlight that fiscal support to local governments for crime prevention may offer large returns, especially during bad macroeconomic times.

The link to the entire study is here:

https://www.princeton.edu/~smello/papers/cops.pdf

A FAILURE TO ARREST

In an election year, Mayor Tim Keller and his appointed APD Chief Harold Medina have pushed the “peddle to the metal” and are going full throttle with their public relations campaign to convince the general public and the media that what they have done is having a major effect on reducing crime and blaming the pandemic. It has not.

Based on the statistics for the budget years of 2019 and 2020, a very strong argument can be made that crime is up because APD is not doing its job of arresting people because it is so short handed in the field services. It’s an APD personnel resource management issue. This point is made perfectly clear in the statistics that arrests for both felony and misdemeanor offenses are down dramatically:

APD statistics for the budget years of 2019 and 2020 reflect the department is not doing its job of investigating and arresting people no doubt in part for the failure to have sufficient number of police patrolling the streets:

APD felony arrests went down from 2019 to 2020 by 39.51% going down from 10,945 to 6,621. Misdemeanor arrests went down by 15% going down from 19,440 to 16,520.
DWI arrests went down from 1,788 in 2019 to 1,230 in 2020, down 26%. The total number of all arrests went down from 32,173 in 2019 to 24,371 in 2020 or by 25%.
In 2019 APD had 924 full time police. In 2020, APD had 1,004 sworn police or 80 more sworn in 2020 than in 2019, yet arrests went down during the first year of the pandemic.

ABOLISH APD INTERNAL AFFAIRS

An option that could increase the number of sworn assigned to field services is to abolish APD’s Internal Affairs Unit and scale down the Compliance Bureau to a third. This would increase the availability of sworn police to patrol the streets. APD has consistently shown over decades it cannot police itself which contributed to the “culture of aggression” found by the Department of Justice. The APD Internal Affairs Unit needs to be abolished and its functions absorbed by other civilian departments.

The investigation of police misconduct cases including excessive use of force cases not resulting in death or serious bodily harm should be done by “civilian” personnel investigators, not sworn police. The External Force Investigation Team (EFIT) would become a part of the civilian oversight unit. The function and responsibility for investigating police misconduct cases and violations of personnel policy and procedures by police should be assumed by the Office of the Inspector General in conjunction with the City Human Resources Department.

The Office of Inspector General could make findings and recommendations to the APD Chief and Police Oversight Board (POB) for implementation and imposition of disciplinary action.

PLAYING THE BLAME GAME

Mayor Keller, Chief Medina and the APD union are now constantly proclaiming that the DOJ consent decree is a major contributor to APD not being able to do its job. The police union falsely proclaims officer’s hands are tied by the DOJ reforms and sworn police are afraid of doing their jobs for fear of being disciplined. All 3 easily forget why the reforms were necessary and now mandated by a court order.

The Court Approved Settlement Agreement was preventable had APD in fact followed constitutional policing practices in the first place. It had nothing to do with “politically correct politicians” throwing APD under the bus as many have said. It was APD that brought the DOJ here in the first place and mandated the Federal Court to come down on it.

Now the Mayor and City Council are mired in dealing with the crisis. APD has the largest budget of all the 27 city departments with an approved 2022 general fund operating budget of upwards of $222 million and funding for 1,100 sworn police, a number it has not had since 2009, and positions it cannot fill. What the city has is an APD personnel management crisis and a failure of Mayor Tim Keller and Chief Harold Medina being unable to do a job with the resources they have, yet all we get is whining from both of them.

But what the hell, we have a Mayor who acts more like a celebrity wearing shorts and t-shirts, attends heavy metal concerts, attends soccer games and who gives pep talks to college football players as he runs around all over the city seeking publicity as he seeks a second term and $60 million in taxpayer funding for a soccer stadium.

_________________________

POSTSCRIPT

As of November 14, 2019, it will be a full 7 years that has expired since the city entered into the CASA with the DOJ. The City and APD have completed the following to accomplish the reforms:

1. After a full year of negotiations, new “use of force” and “use of deadly force” policies have been written, implemented and all APD sworn have received training on the policies.

2. All sworn police officers have received crisis management intervention training.

3. APD has created a “Use of Force Review Board” that oversees all internal affairs investigations of use of force and deadly force.

4. The Internal Affairs Unit has been divided into two sections, one dealing with general complaints and the other dealing with use of force incidents.

5. Sweeping changes ranging from APD’s SWAT team protocols, to banning choke-holds, to auditing the use of every Taser carried by officers and re-writing and implementation of new use of force and deadly force policies have been completed.

6. “Constitutional policing” practices and methods, and mandatory crisis intervention techniques an de-escalation tactics with the mentally ill have been implemented at the APD police academy with all sworn police having received training.

7. APD has adopted a new system to hold officers and supervisors accountable for all use of force incidents with personnel procedures implemented detailing how use of force cases are investigated.

8. APD has revised and updated its policies on the mandatory use of lapel cameras by all sworn police officers.

9. The Repeat Offenders Project, known as ROP, has been abolished.

10. Civilian Police Oversight Agency has been created, funded, fully staffed and a director hired.

11. The Community Policing Counsels (CPCs) have been created in all area commands and the CPCs meet monthly.

12. The Mental Health Advisory Committee has been implemented.

13. The Compliance Bureau has been created.

14. The External Force Investigation Team (EFIT) has been created

Afghanistan War Comes To End; Der Führer Republican Shills Sound Alarm; Afghanistan No Vietnam; The High Cost Of War; 5 Take A Ways By One Who Served; Thirst For Freedom Is Unquenchable

April 14, President Joe Biden announced his decision to withdraw all U.S. troops from Afghanistan. Public opinion polls at the time showed significant public support for Biden’s decision. A Quinnipiac poll in May found 62% of the public supported withdrawal. The Chicago Council Survey conducted a poll from July 7-26 that found 70% supported the decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan by September 11. A CBS News poll from August 18-20 found 63% approval of the U.S. removing troops from Afghanistan.

DISLIKING THE WAY WITHDRAWAL WAS HANLDED

Notwithstanding public support for pulling out of Afghanistan, the public has not been so supportive on how it was executed. An NBC News poll showed a low 25% of Americans approve of the way Biden handled the Afghanistan withdrawal. A CBS News poll found that 74% said the removal of the troops had been handled badly by the U.S. 67% said that Biden did not have a clear plan for evacuating American civilians.

An August 13 to 16 Morning Consult/Politico poll showed that 31% of registered voters approve of Biden’s handling of Afghanistan, while 57% said at the time of the poll said that the withdrawal was not going well. A USA Today/Suffolk poll shows a 27% approval rating for Biden’s handling of Afghanistan.

https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/354182/american-public-opinion-afghanistan-situation.aspx

President Biden’s overall approval rating also has taken a hit as a result of the way the evacuation was handled. A Gallup Poll taken from August 2 to 17 showed that Biden has a 49% approval rating because of the handling of the withdrawal, the lowest of his administration.

https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/354182/american-public-opinion-afghanistan-situation.aspx

On August 16, President Joe Biden said he made the right call to pull American troops out of Afghanistan but Taliban’s swift seizure of Kabul unfolded faster than he expected. Biden emphasized he was honoring the commitment he made when he ran for president to bring the military involvement to an end. Biden said Afghan officials had assured him Afghan forces would fight the insurgents.

President Biden had this to say:

“I stand squarely behind my decision. … The truth is unfolded more quickly than we had anticipated. … [the withdrawal has been] hard and messy – and yes, far from perfect. … [ Afghanistan President Ashraf] Ghani insisted the Afghan forces would fight, but obviously he was wrong. … American troops cannot and should not be fighting in a war and dying in a war that Afghan forces are not willing to fight for themselves. … We gave them every chance to determine their own future. We could not provide them with the will to fight for that future.”

On August 16, the same day Biden made his remarks, President Ashraf Ghani could not flee the country fast enough as the Afghanistan capital of Kabul was being overtaken by Taliban fighters. One report had Ghani stuffing bags and bags of cash in his plane. Ghani and his family fled to the United Arab Emirates where they were welcomed on humanitarian grounds, no doubt to live the remaining years of his life.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg placed the blame squarely on the Afghan national government for the stunning and swift Taliban takeover and said:

“Despite our considerable investment and sacrifice over two decades, the collapse was swift and sudden. There are many lessons to be learned. … Ultimately the Afghan political leadership failed to stand up to the Taliban and achieve the peaceful solution that Afghans desperately wanted.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/18/afghan-president-ashraf-ghani-is-in-uae-after-fleeing-afghanistan.html

TWENTY YEAR WAR ENDS

Three weeks before the last US troops left the country, the mission for the US military was to evacuate American citizens and at-risk Afghans who helped U.S. troops and were desperate to leave the country. The Taliban takeover took a matter of weeks and not months that had been predicted. According to news reports, more than 122,000 people from Afghanistan were relocated since the end of July, including 5,400 American citizens.

On Thursday, August 31, the Pentagon announced that the last U.S. troops had left Afghanistan, ending America’s longest war. In a briefing General Kenneth F. McKenzie, the head of the U.S. Central Command said:

“Every single U.S. service member is out of Afghanistan; I can say that with absolute certainty.”

McKenzie announced that the last U.S. flight out of Afghanistan left at 3:29 p.m. ET, August 31. . The heads of the State Department and Defense Department teams were among the last to leave: Chargé d’Affaires Ross Wilson and Major General Chris Donahue. The withdrawal occurred nearly 20 years after the U.S. military first entered Afghanistan after the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/afghanistan-withdrawal-united-states-troops-pentagon/

DER FÜHRER REPUBLICAN SHILLS SOUND OFF

Kentucky Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell blasted President Joe Biden for his plan to withdraw from Afghanistan, calling it “one of the worst foreign policy decisions in American history.” During an appearance on “Fox News Sunday,” the Kentucky Republican told host Chris Wallace that the decision to leave the country after a nearly 20-year time span was worse than the end of the Vietnam War in 1975, when the city of Saigon fell to communist forces of the People’s Army of Vietnam and the Viet Cong.

“We’re looking at the exit … our heroic military is doing the best they can with a horrible policy decision. This is one of the worst foreign policy decisions in American history, much worse than Saigon. … After we left Saigon, there weren’t Vietnamese terrorists who were planning on attacking us here at home. … We leave behind exactly what we went in to solve 20 years ago, and I fear for the future and continuing the war on terror.”

https://www.businessinsider.com/mcconnell-biden-afghanistan-withdrawal-worst-foreign-policy-decisions-2021-8

South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham has this to say:

“This decision will haunt us for decades. We’re less safe as a nation, the likelihood of an attack coming from Afghanistan now is through the roof. Radical Islam just got a shot of steroids. … If you knew you were going to leave, why didn’t you plan for it better?”

When asked about the Trump administration’s 2018 move to free Taliban leader Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, Graham said that the previous administration would have some blame to bear. Still Graham defended his Der Führer Trump and said that Trump tendered withdrawal agreement was “condition-based. (Que the vomiting.)

https://www.greenvilleonline.com/story/news/local/south-carolina/2021/08/16/senator-lindsey-graham-criticizes-biden-administration-afghanistan-withdrawal-plan/8149240002/

This coming from the 2 most prominent Der Führer Republican Senator’s who refused to hold Der Führer Trump responsible for instigating and promoting the January 6 invasion of the United States Capitol by Der Führer terrorists that forced both of them to flee the Senate Chambers to protect their own skins from an angry mob of Trump supporters.

THE STAGGERING COST OF THE AFGHANISTAN WAR

On August 16, 2021, Forbes Magazine published an article written by Forbes staff writers Christopher Helman and Hank Tucker entitled “The war in Afghanistan cost $300 Million Per Day For 20 years, with big bills yet to come”. Forbes reported:

“In the 20 years since September 11, 2001, the United States has spent more than $2 trillion on the war in Afghanistan. That’s $300 million dollars per day, every day, for two decades. Or $50,000 for each of Afghanistan’s 40 million people. In baser terms, Uncle Sam has spent more keeping the Taliban at bay than the total net worth of Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Bill Gates and the 30 richest billionaires in America, combined.

Those headline numbers include $800 billion in direct war-fighting costs and $85 billion to train the vanquished Afghan army, which folded [like a cheap suit] in the weeks since the Pentagon’s sudden early July closure of Bagram Air Force Base eliminated the promise of air support against the advancing Taliban. U.S. taxpayers have been giving Afghan soldiers $750 million a year in payroll. All told, Brown University’s Costs of War Project estimates the total spending at $2.26 trillion.

And the costs are even greater in terms of lives lost. There have been 2,500 U.S. military deaths in Afghanistan, and nearly 4,000 more U.S. civilian contractors killed. That pales beside the estimated 69,000 Afghan military police, 47,000 civilians killed, plus 51,000 dead opposition fighters. The cost so far to care for 20,000 U.S. casualties has been $300 billion, with another half-trillion or so expected to come.”

https://www.forbes.com/sites/hanktucker/2021/08/16/the-war-in-afghanistan-cost-america-300-million-per-day-for-20-years-with-big-bills-yet-to-come/?sh=4f139ba67f8d

On August 16, 2021, the Associated Press (AP) reported the following sobering loss of life for the 20 years of the Afghanistan War:

Roughly 1 out of every 4 Americans have been born since the 2001 attacks plotted by al-Qaida leaders who were sheltered in Afghanistan
2,448 American service members were killed in Afghanistan through April.

More than 20,000 US soldiers have been injured according to an Aug 16, 2021 BBC report. (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-58230075)
66,000 Afghan national military and police were killed
51,191 Taliban and other opposition fighters killed
47,245 Afghan civilians killed
3,846 U.S. contractors killed
1,144 other allied service members, including from other NATO member states killed
444 aid workers killed
72 journalists killed

The link to the Associated Press Report is here:

https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-business-afghanistan-43d8f53b35e80ec18c130cd683e1a38f

SUICIDES AND OTHER DEATHS

The Watson Institute of International and Public Affairs at Brown University reported that as of July, 2021, over 30,177 U.S. service members and veterans of the post-9/11 wars have died by suicide. Further, coalition partners have died in large numbers with approximately 177,000 uniformed Afghans, Pakistanis, Iraqis, and Syrian allies have died as of November 2019.

The link to the Brown University report is here:

https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/costs/human/military/killed

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-58230075

FIVE TAKE A WAYS FROM SOMEONE WHO WAS IN AFGANISTAN

Retired Admiral James Stavridis was the 16th Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and is an Operating Executive at The Carlyle Group. He is a TIME Contributing Editor. On August 16, Time published a lengthy column by Stavridis where he reported his very deep and personal involvement in the war from the very beginning when he was working at the Pentagon when it was attack on 9/11. The following excerpts from the article outline the 5 major take a ways he reported on:

“In some ways, every war is a tragic waste of time, treasure and, most importantly, blood. But I believe that the troops who fought in Afghanistan can hold their heads up with pride in one crucial way: we were sent to Afghanistan to find and bring to justice the 9/11 attackers, and—more importantly—to prevent another attack on the U.S. homeland emanating from that ungoverned space. For twenty years, we did that. … The financial and human costs of U.S. involvement were immense and will be felt for decades both economically with the U.S. debt and in terms of long-term medical care for wounded veterans.
… .
Main battle tanks and motorized howitzers, fifth generation fighter jets, nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, offensive cyberattack programs, and anti-aircraft missile batteries were of limited use in Afghanistan. Instead, we needed heavily armored but light vehicles that could move fast on the dusty roads and survive an encounter with an improvised explosive device. …. At the start, we needed, [but did not have at first] armored Humvees, alongside more nimble special forces, explosive ordnance disposal technicians, counter-insurgency experts, translators, and central Asian historians. The venerable A-10 “warthog,” a troops-in-the-field support aircraft that flew low suddenly counted for more than a glamorous F/A-18 Hornet. In short, the services had to reinvent, reorient, and rethink every aspect of combat.
… .
…[F]rom the earliest moment, it was clear we would need to train a substantial Afghan army and police force if we were ever going to succeed in Afghanistan. That effort began early, even as we gradually increased the number of U.S. troops in country. The U.S. forces put enormous effort into the training, sending top generals like Dave Petraeus and Marty Dempsey, a future Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, as 3-star officers to helm that effort. Eventually well over a million young Afghans would pass through U.S. and allied training programs, which included literacy training). We succeeded in bolstering the technical proficiency of Afghan forces but at times fell short in our efforts to root out corruption among some sectors and were unable to adequately communicate our vision of a peaceful and prosperous future for the country. … We underestimated the degree to which the Taliban were able to infiltrate the ranks, eventually leading to “green on blue” attacks by Afghans on their trainers. And so many of the Afghans would go through training for a time, take the salaries while doing so, and simply disappear back to their villages.
… .
Another part of the learning curve was discovering how best to fight with allies in the field. The rest of NATO, acting for the first and only time in its history under the auspices of its Article V [that states] “an attack on one is an attack on all, came with us into Afghanistan. The frustrations of coalition warfare are immense, from poor communications interconnectivity to caveats placed on forces (ie: nation X will not conduct operations at night). Despite all the disconnects, however, we learned over time that Sir Winston Churchill was right when he said the only thing more frustrating that fighting alongside allies is fighting without allies.
… .
Central was the U.S. military leadership in the fight. The on-the-ground leaders in Afghanistan, mostly Army and Marine Corps, were overwhelmingly brave, thoughtful, and competent. But as we learned over the long years, we simply rotated them too frequently. … We made the same mistake in Vietnam, where everyone was on a one-year tour, and the outcome was a disaster. This was reflected up-and-down the chain of command, and the lack of continuity and sense of “I’ve just got to make it to my departure date” hindered strategic coherency badly.
… .
Finally, we need to acknowledge the tenacity, innovation, resilience, and relentless tactics of the Taliban. In any war, as the saying goes, the enemy gets a vote. The Taliban used all the attributes of successful insurgencies: terrorizing the civilian population, attacks on critical infrastructure, undermining the economy, harassing raids on larger forces, infiltration of Afghan units, and simply outlasting the patience of the U.S.”

The link to the full article

https://time.com/6090623/afghanistan-us-military-lessons/

AFGHANISTAN IS NO VIETNAM

Dramatic footage of people being evacuated from Kobul airport resulted in a number of tragic images of people running along the sides of cargo planes airlifting people out. People were seen desperately clinging to the departing planes and later fell to their deaths. Some reports said the images were reminiscent of the helicopter airlifts from rooftops out of the city of Saigon when Viet Nam fell to the Viet Cong. It was on April 29 and 30 1975, during the last days of the Vietnam War where more than 7,000 people were evacuated by helicopter from various points in Saigon, including the U.S. Embassy. The caparison of both war withdrawals as being the same is tragic and insults those who served in the wars and those who gave the ultimate sacrifice.

The Vietnam War was about a communism versus capitalism conflict and little more than that. The mantra for fighting it at the time was that if Vietnam fell to communism, there would be a “domino effect” and the entire region and surrounding countries would become communist. It happened anyway. The Vietnam war began in 1954 and involved the 3 countries of Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia. After two decades in 1975, all 3 countries had communist rule.

Iraq borders Iran and Iran borders Afghanistan. All three are overwhelmingly Muslim countries and for years have been hot beds of middle east conflicts.

IRAQ

Iraq’s Muslim population is split into two distinct sects, Shia and Sunni but it is governed by a Prime Minister who holds most of the executive authority and appointed the Council of Ministers, which acts as a cabinet and government. It was from March 20, 2003 to May 1, 2003, the United State with a coalition of 35 countries invaded Iraq to disarm Iraq of weapons of mass destruction, to end Saddam Hussein’s support for terrorism, and to free the Iraqi people.” Republican President George Bush and his “Dick” Cheney lied and there were no weapons of mass destruction ever found. Saddam Heusen was removed from power and killed by his own people after he was found hiding in a “spider hole”.

IRAN

Iran is a unitary Islamic “theocratic republic”. In 1979 the Iranian Revolution occurred overthrowing the pro west Shah of Iran. Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini took power as the supreme leader turning Iran from a pro-West monarchy to a vehemently anti-West Islamic theocracy. During his 2002 State of the Union address, President George W. Bush describes Iran as part of an “axis of evil,” along with Iraq and North Korea. He said Iran “aggressively pursues [weapons of mass destruction] and exports terror, while an unelected few repress the Iranian people’s hope for freedom.” Tensions escalated as Iran pursued a nuclear weapons program. On July 14, 2015, Iran and the 5 permanent members of the UN Security Council plus German signed a nuclear agreement, providing Iran with some sanctions relief in exchange for Iran taking a series of steps, including dismantling and redesigning its nuclear reactor. It was on May 8, 2018, Der Führer and then President Trump announced that the United States would withdraw from the agreement and mount a sanctions campaign to place “maximum pressure” on Iran to pressure it from continuing to develop a nuclear weapon. Many arms control experts and European allies condemn the move, while many Republican lawmakers, Israel, and Saudi Arabia applauded it.

https://www.cfr.org/timeline/us-relations-iran-1953-2021

Afghanistan

In Afghanistan, the Taliban are made up of former Afghan resistance fighters, known collectively as mujahedeen, who fought the invading Soviet forces in the 1980s. They aimed to impose their interpretation of Islamic law on the country and remove any and all foreign influence and govern by strict “Shia Law” that suppresses freedoms, woman’s rights and opposes democracy. The war in Afghanistan owes its origin to control spread of terrorism across the world and the country in the aftermath of the September 11, 2001 attacks with the enemy in Afghanistan being the Taliban and Al Qaeda and the perpetrators of the 9/11 attacks. Unlike Vietnam, the Afghanistan war had support of countries worldwide after terrorists killed 2,977 on September 11, 2001.

THE HIGH COST OF THE VIETNAM WAR IN BLOOD

The United States was in Viet Nam for 11 years while in Afghanistan 20 years. One out of every 10 Americans who served in Vietnam was a casualty. 58,148 were killed and 304,000 wounded out of 2.7 million who served. In Afghanistan 2,448 American service members were killed.

In Vietnam, the percentages that died is similar to other wars but amputations or crippling wounds were 300% higher than in World War II. 75,000 Vietnam veterans are severely disabled, including being totally disabled as a result of post traumatic stress disorder with the term replacing the “shell shock” diagnosis of World War II. United States and allied military deaths in Viet Nam were staggering 282,000.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnam_War_casualties

According to the US Congressional Research Service, United States war spending, in 2019 US dollar term, was $843.63 billion in the Vietnam War. The country was directly engaged in the war for 11 years that saw 58,220 US military deaths. The economic cost went as high as 2.3% of GDP in 1968. The Afghanistan war has cost more than the Vietnam War or $910.47 billion in 2019 US dollar value while the total United States investment in Afghanistan may be around $2 to $3 trillion dollars depending on different estimates.

https://www.news18.com/news/world/us-failure-in-afghanistan-is-bigger-than-vietnam-war-loss-and-this-time-the-blame-lies-at-bidens-door-4094024.html

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

The Biden Administration’s handling of bringing America’s end to the Afghanistan War is being widely criticized by Der Führer Trump Republicans primarily because of the swift Taliban takeover and the United States not keeping a contingency in Afghanistan to deal with terrorists. The hypocrisy of the criticism of Biden from Der Führer Republicans has no bounds given that Der Führer Trump himself announced the withdrawal. The fact that every foreign policy decision Der Führer Trump made turned to excrement insured that under Trump the withdrawal would of likely been American Troops surrendering to the Taliban or even perhaps Putin to give them refuge in Russia.

Notwithstanding how the withdrawal was handled, the decision by President Biden to exit Afghanistan was the right decision with a withdrawal long overdue. To be blunt, anyone who says the United States lost and “cut and run” from Afghanistan is full of bullshit. More was accomplished in Afghanistan then ever was accomplished in Viet Nam.

The war in Afghanistan began with high hopes of ending terror in the world after the September 11 terror attacks in the US. The United States military did in fact accomplish its original mission of dealing with terrorism in Afghanistan. The United States served justice on those who were responsible for the September 11 attacks on the United States, especially with the killing of Osama bin Laden on May 2, 2011. It was after Bin Laden’s killing that the United States should have announced victory and gotten out immediately. Instead, the United State stayed another 10 years with the obvious goal of “nation building” which has never worked for the United States as evidence by Iran when in 1952 the U.S. was instrumental in the overthrow of the Iran government and replacing it with the Sha of Iran who was prop upped for 20 years until the 1979 Iranian Revolution.

“WHACK A TERRORIST” IS THE NEW WAR

Critics such as Der Führer Republicans McConnell and Graham are saying the decision by President Biden to withdraw from Afghanistan will make the world a far more dangerous place now and that Afghanistan may again become a safe haven for terror groups like it was in 2001. The argument is being made that we cannot deny the possibility that Taliban may soon again be a base for Al Qaeda and ISIS, and terror groups operating globally. Global terrorist already exists as proof in the capitol cities such as Paris and London.

What is ignored by the critics is that after 20 years of United State presence, a whole new generation of Afghans and Americans have been born. The people of Afghanistan are better educated, the economy was much better and its people experienced freedom like they had never had before. The Afghan people have changed over the last 20, the Taliban have not. Enlightenment and education has a tendency to crush ignorance.

As noted above, roughly one out of every four Americans have been born since the 2001 attacks plotted by al-Qaida leaders who were sheltering in Afghanistan. As far as the United States is concerned, its military and intelligence agencies have also change dramatically over the last 20 years. The US military is still by far the most sophisticated and powerful military in the world that is constantly evolving with technology. The number of casualties of American soldiers was no doubt reduced because of the use of drones, stealth bombers, cruise missles and other sophisticated arms that have pin point precision. The United States home land Security and intelligence gathering network has also likewise changed dramatically as evidence that 20 years have now passed since 9-11 without another similar terrorist attack.

The truth has always been that the United States cannot police the world and stop terrorism nor protect it from all terrorism. Afghanistan is proof once again that Nation building does not work. At this point all the United States can do is play “whack a mole” with terrorists and do so relying on our intelligence community and our special forces in the military such as those who took out Osama bin Laden.

UNQUENCHABLE THIRST

One thing for certain is that the Taliban and ISIS are akin to terminal cancer. The United States did everything it could to cut out the disease and was successful for a period of 20 years in getting it into remission. The people of Afghanistan lived in peace and security and prospered for 20 years because of the United States.

Just like the overwhelming majority of deadly cancers, the Taliban went into remission and has now returned with a vengeance. The 300,000-strong Afghan army trained and funded by the United States disintegrated in a matter of weeks not months. The Afghan army virtually surrender to the Taliban without any resistance laying down their arms. Simply put, Afghanistan is a country whose people did not want to defend themselves and their freedoms from oppression and religious rule.

It is now being reported that Afghan women activists are staging protests in Taliban-controlled Kabul calling for equal rights and full participation in political life. In spite of the risk, a group called the Women’s Political Participation Network marched on the street in front of Afghanistan’s Finance Ministry, chanting slogans and holding signs demanding involvement in the Afghan government and calling for constitutional law. The Taliban have already said that no woman will be allowed and hold positions of power within the government

Taliban leaders insist publicly that women will play a prominent role in society and have access to education. But the group’s public statements about adhering to their interpretation of Islamic values have stoked fears that there will be a return to the harsh policies of Taliban rule two decades ago, when women all but disappeared from public life.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/03/asia/kabul-afghan-women-protest-intl/index.html

Afghanistan may be back in control of the Taliban, but one thing for certain is that its people, especially its woman, are now realizing what freedoms they have lost with the departure of the United States. The unquenchable thirst and desire for freedom and independence will now last far more than the 20 years the United States was in the country. The Taliban will one day have another reckoning. When that happens, that reckoning will be delivered by the Afghan people. If there is justice in the world, that reckoning will be delivered by the woman of Afghanistan and not a foreign county.

After a full 20 years, withdrawing from Afghanistan was long overdue and President Biden will be remembered for bringing an end to the longest and costliest war in its history. No matter how messy it was, that will soon be forgotten and it was not as bad as it could have been with Der Führer Trump.

_______________________________

POSTSCRIPT

One of best articles written on the withdrawal was published on August 26, on line by the Washington Post. The column was written by Gene Robinson is an American newspaper columnist and was with the Chicago Tribune for a number of yeara. He is an associate editor of The Washington Post. His columns are syndicated to 262 newspapers. Robinson won a Pulitzer Prize in 2009. Robinson also serves as NBC News and MSNBC’s chief political analyst and appears frequently on Meet the Press.

HEADLINE: “HOW, EXACTLY, DID THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION’S CRITICS THINK U.S. MILITARY INVOLVEMENT IN AFGHANISTAN WAS EVER GOING TO END?”

“Certainly not like this” is not a valid answer, however tragic Thursday’s attacks near the Kabul airport prove to be. Please be specific. Did you envision a formal ceremony at the U.S. Embassy with the American flag being lowered and the Taliban flag raised? Did you see the Taliban waiting patiently while the U.S.-trained Afghan army escorted U.S. citizens, other NATO nationals and our Afghan collaborators to the airport for evacuation? Did you imagine that the country’s branch of the Islamic State would watch peacefully from the sidelines, or that regional warlords would renounce any hope of regaining their power, or that a nation with a centuries-old tradition of rejecting central authority would suddenly embrace it?”

NO APOLOGIES

“This is not an apologia for the tragic and chaotic scenes that have been unfolding in Kabul. Rather, it is a reality check. If there is a graceful, orderly way to abandon involvement in a brutal, unresolved civil war on the other side of the world, please cite historical precedents. I can’t find them.

One legitimate answer to this question is our involvement shouldn’t have ended: that the United States should have kept several thousand troops in Afghanistan. Like President Joe Biden, and like Presidents Barack Obama and Donald Trump before him, I disagree with that view. But I do see some logic in the position that maintaining the status quo — basically, propping up the Afghan government we installed — would have been better than the Taliban takeover we’ve just witnessed.”

FOREVER WAR

“The problem is that this “forever war” truly would have had to continue forever. We were never going to outlast the Taliban because — and this is an important point — its members live there and want to govern the country. Afghanistan is their country, not ours. The nation’s fate was never going to matter more to us than it does to them, however repulsive we may find their vision for it. Nor was Afghanistan ever going to matter more to us than it does to the military establishment in neighboring Pakistan, which sees its support of the Taliban as a strategic imperative. Sooner or later, we were going to come home.

And if we were going to leave eventually, what would have been different if we had waited another year, or another five, or another 10? We’d have spent a lot more money and sacrificed more American lives, but Afghanistan would still be Afghanistan.

The rapid disintegration of the 300,000-strong Afghan army showed how little we really understood about the country, even after 20 years. U.S. officials thought government forces could hold out against the Taliban at least for months, perhaps as long as a year. Instead, the military and police we sponsored, equipped and trained surrendered much of the country without even putting up a fight.

Should we have begun airlifting Afghan translators and others who helped the allied effort out of the country earlier, perhaps using the now-abandoned air base at Bagram as the departure gate? Maybe so, but such an evacuation might have created a panic — “The Americans are leaving!” — and a target both of the Taliban and ISIS. However we tried to leave, I believe, things were going to be bad.”

WARNINGS IGNORED

“The administration began warning Americans to leave the country months ago. Of the roughly 6,000 who ignored those warnings and remained, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Wednesday, some 4,500 have been evacuated and plans were being made to extract another 500. That leaves an estimated 1,000 American citizens believed to still be in the country — and Blinken has said it is not clear whether all those people are actually citizens or that all of them wish to leave.

Meanwhile, we have already evacuated more than 100,000 Afghans who feared for their lives under Taliban rule, a truly remarkable logistical achievement under daunting circumstances. We owe a great debt to these people and we should continue the airlift as long as we can. But that won’t be forever, as conditions deteriorate — witness the deadly bombings on Thursday outside Hamid Karzai International Airport — and not everyone who desperately wants to get out will be able to do so. That is tragic. But it would be true, I believe, whenever and however the U.S. mission ended.

The images [we saw] … from Kabul [were] shocking, heartbreaking and embarrassing. But the real stain on our national honor was in making promises to Afghans that we never had the intention or even the ability to keep. Twenty years of U.S. blood and treasure gave Afghanistan not a secular democracy but its flickering illusion. And history will see this withdrawal, painful as it is to watch, not as ignominious but as inevitable.”

The link to the column is here:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/08/26/whats-happening-afghanistan-is-horrible-how-else-was-us-involvement-going-end/

Labor Day Guest Column by Rudolfo Carrillo: “Something To Be: A Labor Day Reminiscence”

Rudolfo Carrillo is a native New Mexican and was the news and music editor at Weekly Alibi from August 2015 until March 2020, where he used the pen name “August March” to write about Albuquerque culture, history and politics. He is a graduate of the University of New Mexico’s fine arts program. His award-winning writing and analysis have been featured at international academic conferences, in notable literary journals as well as in local media outlets like the Albuquerque Journal. His latest work can be read at Infinity Report with the link here:
http://infinityreport.blogspot.com/

EDITOR’S DISCLAIMER:

This Labor Day guest opinion was written by Rudolfo Carrillo and submitted for publication on this blog. The opinions expressed in this article are those of Rudolfo Carrillo and do not necessarily reflect those of the political blog www.petedinelli.com. Rudolfo Carrillo was not compensated for the guest column.

“SOMETHING TO BE, A LABOR DAY REMINISCENCE”

I’ve always viewed myself as vaguely Mexican-American, a member of the working class; I’ve got the name going on, after all—though I’m named for my Pops, who was named Rudolfo for Valentino, who died two weeks before his birth.

The family that birthed the original version of Rudolfo Carrillo has been hanging around this part of the Earth for at least 400 years. When you add my mother’s story—including the birth and normative human ascent of three children cursed with unusually fierce intelligence and fortitude—the tale of where I came from stretches back millennia but remains centered on the land that stretches between Chihuahua City and Albuquerque, between the Rio Grande and the Pacific Ocean.

Anyway, with starry credentials like those, one must come to the natural conclusion that I’ve had a great and easy time dealing with the status quo and its representatives in a state that is—at last glance—nearly 50 percent Hispanic.

Larry, Frankie, Dasha & Rudolfo

Interestingly, though, that isn’t the case. Although incidents of discrimination and racial injustice were part of everyday life for me growing up on the border of the Navajo Nation, I simply never got used to seeing people of color being treated poorly, abused and even killed. I was there when Larry Casuse fought for all our rights and died.

By all accounts, Casuse’s death could have been prevented if not for the outright capitalist greed of Gallup, New Mexico’s local bar and liquor industry. A prime mover of that literally ongoing, poisonous enterprise was Emmett “Frankie” Garcia, the mayor of Gallup. Disclosure: My father worked in Garcia’s administration as director of a federally funded Urban Renewal and Relocation program.

Garcia had a profitable stake in one of the city’s most notorious watering holes and was also a contender for a seat on UNM’s Board of Regents when undergraduate and Kiva Club President Larry Casuse kidnapped him from his office in Gallup before duck-walking him over to the local Downtown sporting goods store in March of 1973. By the end of the day, Garcia had escaped and Casuse lay dead of a gunshot wound in the back of the store as FBI agents pored over the scene.

“The Life and Death of Larry Casuse, 40 Years Later”, by David Correia in La Jicarita, An Online Magazine of Environmental Politics in New Mexico, March 15, 2013.

https://lajicarita.wordpress.com/2013/03/15/the-life-and-death-of-larry-casuse-40-years-later/

I was in the third grade back then, attending Roosevelt Elementary School in Gallup, which is just up the hill from Downtown. One of my close friends was Dasha Casuse, Larry’s little sister. Other than Dasha, my twin brother Albino, a Chinese-American lad named Howard, and a Mormon girl named Kim, everyone at the school treated the Diné kids like hell; the teachers either ignored them or were openly hostile to them.

By the time we left Gallup for Albuquerque three years later, Larry’s sister Dasha had also died; the effects of institutional racism and neglect seemed to have little respect for life, even young life, in that place.

WELCOME TO THE NORTHEAST HEIGHTS!

As a child who was used to the various desert environments where his parents dwelt and worked, I was always filled with wonder when we visited Albuquerque. The bright swath of bosque running through the middle of the city when approached via freeway added to the feeling that here was where life and civilization began.

So filled up with the verdant glory of summers here was I, that I also imagined that this would be a place where there was no racism, no neglect, no shame in being a person of color or an outsider of any sort—how could any of that not be so when the forest that ran through the middle of town seemed to speak deeply of belonging, of rest?

The plain truth, though, is that such bleary optimism got me absolutely nowhere in terms of figuring out how deeply embedded the patriarchy and racism are in the common institutions that arise from public education and private business in this town. My first exposure to that sort of ruling nonsense came via a 6-year engagement with Albuquerque Public Schools—at some of the best schools the organization had to offer in the Northeast Heights.

During the first week of seventh grade at Eisenhower Middle School, my main teacher asked everybody to bring something from home for show and tell, as a way of getting to know about her new students’ backgrounds.

That was easy enough, I thought. My old man had just replaced his prized slide rule with a Casio multi-function calculator that a friend of his at General Dynamics had given him as an early birthday present.

I brought the calculator in and started to show the class how to do basic math functions. When I mentioned that it also did something called “trigonometric functions”, the teacher literally shouted me down and dragged me out into the hall. She couldn’t believe that I possessed such a device, much less that I knew how to use it. She demanded that I end the presentation, and outraged, she asked me to hand over the calculator and sent me to the main office for counseling. And she didn’t believe it was my father’s calculator either. As I walked away, she asked me if I had stolen the device. My face turned red, but I ignored her.

Later that week, after meeting with my parents, she gave me a C-minus on the project. When I asked her why, she said, “Because you have no idea what trigonometry is, and besides, you never smile; all my successful students smile.”

NAVIGATING THE LEVELS WITH VIRGIL

For some reason, small business seems to be a perfect breeding ground for institutional and systematic racism in Albuquerque. In small, top-down management environments, inherently racist and misogynist worker-hostile policies can thrive while hyper-capitalism drives ethical decisions.

These sorts of practices, by the way, are not anomalous; in fact they are and have often been practiced by students of various business schools (including UNM’s Anderson School of Management) at state universities in the 1980s and ’90s. This same sort of messianic, lone wolf, pirate capitalism has long been the weapon of choice among certain cultural leaders like that one dude, Donald Trump.

Here’s how I saw such practices manifest in our town. This has been my experience as a middle-aged Chicano man.

A PHOTOGRAPHIC IDENTITY

One time in the late-1990s, I applied for a position at a local software development firm. They specialized in legal software and had just begun to market a breakthrough product from here in Albuquerque.

This up-and-coming small business was owned and operated by a local visionary who was treated as a larger-than-life figure by those in his employ. At a recruiting meeting, I noted that his presence was everywhere; a cult of personality had somehow arisen in his wake. When I asked an employee what that all meant, she shrugged her shoulders and said, “he gives us as many free candy bars as we can eat.”

Anyway, as they were processed, each applicant had a Polaroid photo taken of them, on which their name was written. They were then told to keep their back to interviewers and recruiters down the line. At some point, an unknown person removed my photo from my back, tapped me on the shoulder and said, “Did you know that this software is in English?” It’s okay, you can still stay for so and so’s presentation; they’re illuminating, even if you have trouble understanding the words.”

I recall that I stayed behind just so I could repeatedly interrupt the speechifying of the head dude, their leader and messiah. When he got tired of my interjections about workers’ rights, I stood up and left through a back exit. On the way out, I walked past a storage room that was filled to capacity with boxes of candy bars.

“One-on-One with Bill Bice”, by Jessica Dyer in The Albuquerque Journal, January 25, 2016.”

https://www.abqjournal.com/711581/one-on-one-with-bill-bice.html

LIFE IN THE FAST LANE

More recently, my presumptions about equality were challenged when I suggested to certain employers that the actions of one of their subordinates could well be a result of an accepted level of institutional racism in the workplace.

This actually happened twice in recent memory. Both instances, in retrospect, were credible. At one job, about six years ago, I was called into the director’s office where I was bluntly told:

“How dare you pull the race card on us, buddy?! You know that no one in this building is a racist. If this happens again, you’ll be subject to termination.”

A few weeks later, I was indeed terminated for saying “negative things” in front of the other staff. Later that spring, the man who signed my termination papers was also summarily replaced, ironically.

A couple years ago, I objected when one of my supervisors said that I talked too much and was too verbose. Stop using such big words, they told me, they don’t fit you. When I complained that such descriptions were not only hurtful, but supported a stereotype that Hispanics were not easily capable of grasping deeper meanings, much less expressing them, the incident escalated.

My boss really wanted to know, he asked me in a meeting later that week, if the thing called institutional racism really existed, if in fact the term “white privilege” was just something I was making up to cause trouble and foment dissent between labor and management. Luckily, the pandemic came and saved me from that storm of privilege and intellectual neglect.

MEANWHILE, BACK IN ALPHAVILLE

This past summer, I applied for a job at the City of Albuquerque. The process required an interview onsite, at the Albuquerque Sunport. On the day of the interview, much of the place was still closed. I didn’t know this at the time (dumb Mexican, I guess) and arrived early, hoping to get a bite to eat at one of the facility’s luxurious restaurants.

I guess it was obvious that I wasn’t there to catch a flight or retrieve an incoming passenger because, within a few minutes, I had been profiled by the local security team and at least one uniformed individual was not so surreptitiously following me around as I browsed the model airplanes and began to look for a place to take a leak.

This individual followed me into restroom and then out again as I headed for the aviation office. A few minutes later, after I was seated, another uniformed individual stuck his head through the office door, looked around and waved to the receptionist.

I tried to ignore that, but it weighed heavily on my mind as I was interviewed by two very young and inexperienced managers as well as a much older bureaucrat from some financial department or the other. All of them were white. The only other Hispanics I met at the facility were the overly friendly receptionist and a humble janitor.

Anyway, at one point, I told some true tale from my professional past. Completely verifiable stuff. Afterward, the main interviewer looked at me, incredulously raised his eyebrows and said in a contrived tone, “Wow, that’s an amazing story!” He then rolled his eyes. I looked over at his assistant, who was writing something in their notes and apparently, stifling a laugh.

IN A RAIN BARREL

Now like all good cynics who came before me, I am not going to completely certify the above-described events as ultimately or definitively racist. I think a lot of times such situations develop because of ignorance and insecurity on the part of members of the status quo. For instance, it’s a safe bet that those kids at CABQ were intimidated—frightened that I might know more about how to do what they are doing than they did, et cetera.

Living life in the full glory of the spectacle has its consequences. Constant fear of replacement is one of them. Further, in the carceral state, authorities are trained to fear and question the motives of anyone who fits a certain profile.

It’s clear that such misdirected and unfortunate actions create more distance between those who wield power and privilege and those who remain relegated to the sidelines, whether they choose to reside there or not. This has negative repercussions for society as a whole.

As underrepresented outsiders are denied access to the same language and opportunities as their more-privileged fellows, a rift is sure to grow. Using compassion to bridge that gap is possible, but as it grows wider, so does the ability for love to make a difference wane under the weight of disappointment and fear.

It is clear that such exclusionary behavior is much more commonplace in educational settings and the workplace than many of my white friends, colleagues or associates care to believe or even consider. And changing such deeply entrenched behavior and attitudes (including an overriding reverence for business owners, youth, capitalism and even the so-called normative) requires peacefully complicated measures be taken.

Of course it begins with education. Children need to be taught early to believe and understand that we are all the same—that, indeed, we are one organism. Further, since we are all basically the same thing, we should kindly treat one another as brothers and sisters. Next, a sense of community must supplant a sense of competition. Further, service to the community, not personal ambition, should be a key factor in developing meritocracy in the workplace and in schools, too.

All this needs to be done with rigorous attention on developing the critical thinking faculties of the human mind. By the time an American graduates from high school, they should be well-versed in math, civics, ethics, science, literature, the media, and basic/practical economics. Then they should spend at least one summer of service in a developing nation or region of America (like the Rez, for instance).

Sustained efforts like these may signal the beginning of the end of a perpetually cruel cycle of institutional racism, white supremacy and white privilege that continue to haunt and hurt American culture while also disrupting the equality of educational and professional business processes here in Albuquerque and throughout the state of New Mexico.

The cool gray overalls (in a multitude of sizes), massive redistribution of wealth, shouts of “Hasta la victoria” and little red iPads can wait. First, we all need to agree that I am not who you think I am.

“White Supremacy, With a Tan”, by John Blake, from CNN, September 4, 2021.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/04/us/census-browning-of-america-myth-blake/index.html

Der Führer ABQ Mayor Candidates Gonzales And Aragon Play Defense In Court; Ethically Challenged Keller Gives Pep Talks To UNM Football Team And Throws A Few Passes; City Clerk Denies Public Finance A Second Time Day After Hearing

The race for Albuquerque Mayor is heating up big time, but not in debates nor before neighborhood associations but in litigation and courtrooms while Mayor Keller gives pep talks to UNM football players.

MANNY GONZALES FILES “PETITION FOR WRIT OF SUPERINTENDING CONTROL”

On September 1, Bernalillo County Sheriff and candidate for Mayor Manny Gonzales filed a “Petition For Writ of Superintending Control” with the New Mexico Supreme Court asking it to intervene in his case over the denial in public campaign financing of $661,000 by City Clerk Ethan Watson. Named as parties are City Clerk Ethan Watson, who refused to certify Gonzales on July 9 for public finance funding, and 1st Judicial District Judge Bryan Biedscheid, who ruled that Watson had denied Gonzales due process of law. Biedscheid remanded the case back to Watson for a hearing and to make specific findings. The petition asks the Supreme Court to order Watson to give Gonzales the public finance funding without any further delay or hearings.

When Judge Biedscheid remanded the case back to City Clerk Watson, he ruled that the city clerk still had the power to deny Gonzales the public financing on the grounds Gonzales broke the rules but ruled that Watson could only do so after Gonzales was given a chance to answer the claims. If Watson decided not to have a hearing Judge Biedscheid ordered Watson to release the public finance money to Gonzales.

The petition filed asks the Supreme Court to order District Court Judge Biedscheid to reverse Watson’s decision “for real this time” and order either District Judge Bryan Biedscheid or City Clerk Watson to certify Gonzales for the public financing. It asks the court to hear oral arguments in the case.

The petition for “writ of superintending control” alleges the Gonzalez repeated campaign allegations that City Clerk Watson is an appointee of incumbent Mayor Tim Keller, that his continued employment as city clerk is tied to Keller’s successful reelection and therefore Watson cannot be neutral when making consequential decisions about Gonzales’ campaign.

The petition alleges in part:

“A reversal of the Clerk’s decision does not by a long shot assure Sheriff Gonzales’s victory come November, but merely a fair race, in which the thumb of the incumbent-candidate’s government is only allowed to press moderately on the scale. ”

SHAM HEARING ALLEGED

On Wednesday, August 1, City Clerk Watson held a hearing at city hall in an attempt to satisfy Biedscheid’s order and to attempt to give Gonzales “due process” and allow Gonzales to refute the allegations of fraud in the gathering of qualifying $5 donations. Two ethics complaints filed by Keller’s election campaign against the Gonzales Campaign alleged that Gonzales campaign submitted fraudulent and forged material while attempting to qualify for public financing.

The Gonzales campaign has acknowledged some likely forgery, but have argued that more than enough legitimate nominating signatures and qualifying donations have been submitted. Despite the fact the City Clerk Watson certified that Gonzales did in fact submit the required number of qualifying donations, he declined to certify Gonzales for the public financing.

During the City Clerk’s hearing, Kevin Morrow, the city’s acting deputy city attorney went through the allegations against Manny Gonzales and stated:

“Your campaign admitted that many of the qualifying contributions receipts identified by the Holguin-2 complaint were signed by someone other than the voter. You, through counsel, admitted to a pattern of forgery and stated, ‘it does indeed appear that those QCs were forged.”

Attorney Daniel Gallegos, Gonzales’ attorney did not directly address the allegations of forgery or fraud. Instead, he repeatedly hammered home the allegation that Watson is biased and pointed out that regardless of what the campaign did or did not do, the clerk’s hearing was unfair because the city clerk was appointed by Mayor Tim Keller and Gallegos had this to say:

“The city clerk, Ethan Watson, is far from a fair, neutral or impartial decision maker in this case. … He has a stake in the outcome in this case. He was appointed by and answers to incumbent Tim Keller, Sheriff Gonzales’ opponent. And the clerk’s term in office coincides and terminates with the term of Mayor Keller. Bottom line, if the mayor loses this election, the city clerk is out of a job.”

In a separate matter, a city Inspector General’s Office investigation found discrepancies with documentation submitted by Gonzales. Based on those findings, the city’s Board of Ethics and Campaign Practices found Gonzales had violated the city’s Open and Ethical Elections Code and fined him $500. During the August 1 hearing, City Clerk Watson proceeded to rely on those finding as he considers his decision to deny public financing for a second time. Attorney Daniel Gallegos, one of Gonzales’ attorneys, challenged Watson’s use of the Board of Ethics ruling and fine, noting that Keller is also facing an ethics complaint.

Attorney Gallegos also argued that public financing challenge has handicapped the Mayor’s race to the point it may not even be a fair race regardless of the clerk’s decision in that Gonzales has had no way to bring any money into his campaign for nearly two months. Further, the Gonzales campaign is spending a fortune on legal expenses, when those limited funds could be paying for TV ads or mailers or other ways to help voters learn more about Gonzales’ platform.

Links to quoted news source materials are here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/2425288/gonzales-asks-states-high-court-to-intervene-in-campaign-finance-case.html

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/sheriff-gonzales-continues-to-fight-for-public-financing/6224299/?cat=500

CITY CLERK WATSON DENIES GONZALES PUBLIC FINANCE FOR SECOND TIME

On August 2, for a second time, Albuquerque City Clerk Ethan Watson denied the Manny Gonzales campaign access to public financing of $661,000. City Attorney Esteban Aguilar Jr. released the following statement:

“Today, the City Clerk performed his duty in refusing to turn over more than $650,000 in taxpayer dollars to the Gonzales campaign. Earlier this week, the District Court affirmed the essential role that the clerk plays in certifying candidates for public finance dollars, and the Clerk’s decision was made after two separate entities and an independent investigation found evidence that Gonzales violated the City’s election rules. Despite being given an additional hearing to address the violations and present evidence in his defense, Gonzales instead chose not to participate in the proceeding. It is unfortunate that Gonzales continues to lodge politically motivated attacks on public officials to undermine democratic processes.”

Gonzales’ legal team has already filed an appeal to overturn the decision.

Links to quoted news source materials are here:

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/city-clerk-denies-sheriff-gonzales-public-financing-for-a-second-time/6225139/?cat=500

https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-government/elections/albuquerque-city-clerk-denies-manny-gonzales-public-financing/

PETITION FILED AGAINST EDDY ARAGON TO REMOVE FROM BALLOT

On September 1, a complaint was filed in 2nd Judicial District Court seeking to kick off Albuquerque mayoral candidate Eddy Aragon from the ballot The petition alleges that he improperly listed a commercial address as his home residence. The complaint was filed by Albuquerque city resident and registered voter Esther Rivera against Bernalillo County Clerk Linda Stover and Eddy Aragon.

According to the complaint filed, Aragon violated the law by listing a building in a commercially zoned area on both his voter registration and candidate forms for Mayor. The petition alleges the building is in an area zoned “NR-BP”, which stands for “nonresidential/business park”, which allows office and commercial uses only and not residential use. The petition alleges that under state law, county clerks are required to reject voter registration forms containing a commercial mailbox as the physical address The complaint asks the court to order Bernalillo County Clerk Linda Stover to disqualify Aragon and remove his name from the ballot. The petition was also sent to Bernalillo County Clerk Linda Stover asking her to disqualify Eddy Aragon as a candidate.

The link to the complaint is here:

https://www.scribd.com/document/522747251/Petition-for-Candidate-Removal-Sep-1-2021-12-43-PM

Private Attorney Tom Grover, who filed the complaint on behalf of his client Esther Rivera had this to say:

“[My client’s] concerned that the integrity of the election had been tampered with. [Aragon’s office] is not a building that is zoned for residential occupancy. … It’s an office building. It’s in a business park. It’s primarily occupied by other contractors for the Air Force and the airport and it’s clearly not a residential building. So on that basis, he should be disqualified as a candidate. … Under those facts, it doesn’t satisfy the city’s requirements for what constitutes a residence.”

According to Aragon, residential is an allowable use in the building where he runs his radio station. Aragon said he has lived in his office since 2020 following a divorce, and that he is considered the property’s “watchman.” Eddy Aragon for his part called the petition a “political hit job” by his opponents saying:

“The person who’s filing the petition has a long history of hate toward me. [She has a] I HateEddyAragon.com [web site]. … There’s no validity to the [residency claims] … What they’re actually looking at here is an overlay. So their argument here is easily defeated. I look forward to seeing them in court. … There’s better ways to go about it. The place to go about it is, let’s do it in the debate. Let’s do it on the issues, let’s do it on the record.”

County Clerk Linda Stover for her part said:

“As of right now, we have no reason to disqualify him. … He’s registered and he lives within the city of Albuquerque, until a judge tells me otherwise. … I’m really not going to get into the weeds on that because, until a judge tells me to do something, [he] has qualified as a candidate.”

Links to quoted news source material are here:

https://www.koat.com/article/petition-filed-to-get-rid-of-mayoral-candidate-eddy-aragon/37458409

https://www.abqjournal.com/2425470/petition-challenges-abq-mayoral-candidates-residency.html

ETHICALLY CHALLENGED AND “HIGH SCHOOL JOCK” MAYOR TIM KELLER

Mayor Tim Keller is a former State Auditor that claimed he fought “waste, fraud and abuse” yet was found to have violated the ethics campaign rules 4 years ago. One complaint filed against Tim Keller’s campaign 4 years ago involved the allegation that “cash donations” for political consulting were reported as “in-kind” donations. The Election Board of Ethics and Campaign Practices ruled that the cash contributions were in fact ethical violations. Ultimately, Keller was found guilty by a unanimous vote of the City Board of Ethics. Rules and Regulations and he was not penalized before or after the complaint was formally heard.

A second more serious complaint file in 2017 against the Keller campaign was that the Keller Campaign for Mayor committee was coordinating their campaign and expenditures with ABQ Forward Together. Neri Holguin, Keller’s 2021 campaign manager was the chairperson “ABQ Forward Together”, the progressive measured finance committee that was formed specifically to raise money to promote progressive Tim Keller for Mayor in 2017. “ABQ Forward Together” raised over $663,000 for Keller’s 2017 bid for Mayor as Keller qualified for public financing and given $340,000 for his 2017 campaign for Mayor.

As Mayor, Tim Keller he recently signed off on a highly questionable sale of city property to supporters of his re-election campaign. Keller requested the approve of the sale of the historic Rosenwald Building for $360,000 in a “private bid” to build condos. The sale of the building was negotiated by the Keller Administration and presented to the council for approval at the request of Mayor Tim Keller. In 2009, the city had purchased the historic 42,000-square-foot building for $1.7 million. The city sold the Rosenwald Building to someone who made a $50,000 donation to Mayor Keller’s charitable foundation and $15,000 in donations to the measured finance committee promoting Keller for a second term. The sale also includes a 14-year lease by the city of 1,100 square feet for an APD police substation.

On August 19, 2021, Mayor Tim Keller found time in the evening to stop by the UNM football stadium during the football team’s practice. He was dressed in a LOBO T-shirt wearing shorts and holding a football like a coach. Keller proceeded to give an inspirational, high-volume pep talk to the team as the UNM football coach stood by his side and as video was taken. He told the group of football players sitting on the ground and looking up at him how the community had their backs. Keller was was very supportive of the team, and he told the players that even if attendance at their games is sparse and the bleachers empty, football in the fall was the only game in town that everybody watched on TV. Keller told the players that by the end of the season, everyone will know most of their names. After he spoke, his experience as a former high school football quarter back kicked in and he successfully threw a pass taking great pleasure at the feat he accomplished. Keller made sure the video was posted on his FACEBOOK page and that it was posted on YOUTUBE with the link here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4hmr1qa_W4

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

The November 2 municipal election is now exactly 60 days away. Talk about one fine mess and its only going to get worse. Instead of healthy debate on issues between the candidates, the public sees court challenges and a Mayor reliving his high school glory days as the city’s violent crime and murder rates continues to sky rocket.

The race for Albuquerque Mayor between incumbent Progressive Democrat and ethically challenged Mayor Tim Keller, Der Führer Trump’s favorite Conservative Democrat Sheriff Manny Gonzales and Der Führer Republican radio shock jock Eddy Aragon continues to swirl around as it goes down the toilet bowl.

BURQUE’S 3 “PEP BOYS” OF TIMMY, MANNY AND EDDY

Eddy Aragon is a staunch supporter of Der Führer Trump. Aragon is as qualified to be Mayor of Albuquerque as was Der Führer Trump was to be President, which is not qualified at all. Aragon would be just as big of a disaster as the Trump crazy. Aragon with his talk show is on the same level as FOX News and the likes of Sean Hannity. Aragon enjoys badgering and taking issue with anyone who is Democrat or he considers progressive.

After Sheriff Manny Gonzales traveled to the White House last summer to appear with Der Führer and after working and appearing with former Republican Attorney General William Barr, Gonzales became “persona non gratis” within the Democratic Party to the point some within the party demanded he resign. He is now considered a Democrat In Name Only (DINO). Gonzales appearing on FOX News to oppose Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham’s public health orders also alienated many Democrats.

Over the last 4 years, Mayor Keller’s accomplishments have been less than stellar. The city’s high murder rate is rising even further. Violent crime has only gotten worse with the killing of 13-year-old by another 13-year-old boy in a school yard who took his dad’s gun to school and with APD officers now being shot 4 at a time. For 4 years, murders have hit an all-time record under Keller, with many still unsolved. But what the hell, we got a Mayor who wants the public to pay for and build a $60 million dollar soccer stadium so he can run around reliving his high school glory days and giving pep talks to college football players.

NEW MEXICO SUPREME COURT SHOULD ACT

When it comes to the denial of public finance, the best option for the voters is for the City, the City Clerk and the Gonzales campaign to seek an emergency hearing before the New Mexico Supreme Court and ask the Supreme Court to disqualify Judge Biedscheid and the City Clerk Ethan Watson from taking any further action on the case. The New Mexico Supreme Court should order the City Board Of Ethics And Campaign Practices to conduct a hearing within 5 days affording due process of law to Gonzales and allow the Ethics Board to rule on the one pending ethics case against Gonzales and also to decide if Gonzales should be certified for public finance or fined.

CONCLUSION

The city is facing any number of problems that are bringing it to its knees. Those problems include the coronavirus pandemic, business closures, high unemployment rates, exceptionally high violent crime and murder rates, continuing mismanagement of the Albuquerque Police Department, failed implementation of the Department of Justice reforms after a full six years and millions spent, declining revenues and gross receipts tax, increasing homeless numbers, lack of mental health programs and little to no economic development actually being done by the city.

With all 3 of the candidates for Mayor, what we will get is a continuation of mayor who makes promises and offers only eternal hope for better times that result in broken campaign promises. We will not be getting a mayor who actually knows what they are doing, who can make the hard decisions without an eye on the next election. With all 3, we will get a Mayor that will make decisions only to placate their base and please only those who voted for them.

Links to related blog articles are here:

Der Führer Trump Radio Shock Jock Eddy Aragon Formally Declares Running For Mayor; Let’s jail grandma to reduce the homeless! And Other Crazy; A Choice Between The Lesser Of 2 Evils And 1 Crazy Trumpster Is No Choice At All

Der Führer Trump’s Favorite Democrat Sherriff Manny Gonzales Runs For Mayor; A DINO And Law Enforcement Dinosaur

Mayor Tim Keller’s Promises Made, Promises Broken As He Seeks Second Term; Voters Will Decide If Keller “Has Done A Good Job”

Industries That Can Diversify New Mexico’s Economy; AED Announces Five-Year Strategic Plan; State And City Economic Development Identify Industries To Diversify Economy; Now Just Do It!

New Mexico as a whole has been struggling for decades to diversify its economy, wean itself off of federal government spending and reducing its heavy reliance on the oil and gas industry where the state gets nearly 40% of its revenue from. When the oil and gas industry booms, New Mexico becomes flush with money and when it busts, the state revenues plummet causing financial crisis.

There are 10 sectors or industries that have been identified by the Governor Lujan Administration that have the best shot at diversifying New Mexico’s economy. Those industries are:

Film & Television
Aerospace
Intelligent Manufacturing
Global Trade
Value Added Agriculture
Cyber-Security
Bio-Sciences
Sustainable Energy
Outdoor Recreation
Recreational Cannabis And Hemp Industries

AREAS TARGETED FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

During the last two years, some significant progress has been made by the Lujan Grisham Administration in diversifying New Mexico’s economy in 5 of the 9 areas targeted by the state for economic development. The progress in those areas is worth noting:

FILM & TELEVISION

Over the last 20 years, the film and television industry has steadily grown and been one of the few bright spots for the state, especially during the great recession, when it comes to economic development and diversifying the state’s economy which is very dependent on federal spending.

The New Mexico Film Office reports that in in 2003 the industry had direct spending in New Mexico was $7 million. In fiscal year 2019, direct spending reached a record high of $525.5 million. According to state estimates, Netflix will generate an estimated $344 million in taxes to the state, local school districts, and other local governments.

It was in 2019 that the film industry began to seriously emerge to be one of the biggest hopes for Albuquerque and New Mexico to diversify both the city and states economies. The unmistakable evidence was the immense investment in the city and state by NBC Universal and the Netflix purchase of Albuquerque studios as the site of a new production hub. Both announced NBC and Netflix announced opening film production facilities in Albuquerque.

NETFLEX DEAL AND EXPANSION

On October 8, 2018, it was announced that Netflix was buying Albuquerque Studios. The State contributed $10 million of Local Economic Development Act funds. The City of Albuquerque contributed another $4.5 million of Local Economic Development Funds. Albuquerque beat out other places such as Denver, Salt Lake City, Austin, New York, Georgia and Los Angeles. The Albuquerque site will be Netflix’s first hub purchased in the United States. Albuquerque Studios is an enormous complex that includes 9 sound stages, a backlot and management offices. New Mexico’s other 4 production studios are I-25 Studios, Garson Studios, Santa Fe Studios and Las Cruces Studios as other productions seek studio space for their projects.

https://www.abqjournal.com/1230755/netflix-to-buy-abq-studios.html

https://www.krqe.com/news/new-mexico/netflix-buys-albuquerque-studios/1507392854

Originally it was estimated that at least 1,000 well-paying jobs per year will be created. The jobs will run the gamut of film and TV production work, most of which is project-based contract labor. Many of the jobs are expected to pay $70,000 a year. The purchase deal also calls for $1 billion worth of production spent over 10 years which will have a dramatic effect on the City and State economies.

https://www.petedinelli.com/2019/06/17/lights-camera-action-means-jobs-repeal-nm-criminal-abortion-law/

On November 23, 2020, it was reported that Netflix will be expanding its presence in New Mexico by more than 10 times as it already exists by adding 300 acres to its existing 30-acre property located at Mesa Del Sol at the South border of the City. Netflex said it intends to make Albuquerque its North American production headquarters. The expansion comes a mere two years after the media giant purchased the ABQ Studios.

THE NBC DEAL

On July 22, 2019, NBC Universal announce it would open a studio in Albuquerque as part of a 10-year venture. The media giant took over and renovated and created sound stages at a vacant industrial building south of I-40 on Commercial Street, north of downtown in the vicinity of historic Martinez town. The media giant is expected to provide more than 330 full-time jobs year-round at the film studio.

NBC Universal employees earn about $58,000 a year which is a far cry from the minimum wage jobs the city is use to announcing with the arrival of new businesses. The studio operation is projected to generate an economic impact of $1.1 billion over a 10-year period.

The state’s Economic Development Department is providing $7.7 million through the Local Economic Development Act (LEDA) to the redevelopment and production commitment. The City of Albuquerque will provide another $3 million from its LEDA fund which was approved by the Albuquerque City Council on June 17, 2019 by a unanimous vote.

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/nbcuniversal-to-open-studio-in-albuquerque/5389689/#:~:text=ALBUQUERQUE%2C%20N.M.%20%E2%80%94%20Governor%20Michelle%20Lujan,Commercial%20Street%2C%20north%20of%20downtown.

AEROSPACE

State officials are encouraged between the Spaceport and companies like Virgin Galactic moving forward with test flights. State officials say there’s even more companies on the way.

On Thursday, November 12, 2020, the City of Albuquerque Environmental Planning Commission approved the new site plan for the “Orion Center.” It is an aerospace and technology facility that will be built on the 122-acre plot of land located between Kirtland Air Force Base and Albuquerque International Sunport. “Group Orion”, the developer, is a subsidiary of Theia Group Inc., a Washington D.C. based, privately held aerospace company. The Theia Group is attempting to develop a network of satellites to digitally image and collect data on the physical world, providing solutions in areas from logistics to biology.

The mass area acreage was originally where the North-South airport runway was located. The land has now been designated for industrial development by the city. In 2017 after the runway was removed, the City named the acreage as the “Aviation Center for Excellence”. The city began to offer the vacant land area for commercial and office developers . According to Nyika Allen, Albuquerque’s Director of Aviation, the city began working with “Group Orion” in late 2018.

During the November 12th press conference announcing the development, Albuquerque Economic Development Director Synthia Jaramillo said the Orion Project represents a real opportunity to attract development from the commercial space industry. According to Jaramillo:

“The global space economy is projected to be worth $3 trillion by 2045.

Jaramillo cited Albuquerque’s “engineering-savvy” workforce, low property tax rates, which are some of the lowest in the country, and tax deductions that target the aviation and aerospace industries. In addition, the city boasts “large swaths of vacant land, unrestricted air space and low population density.”

James Reid Gorman, Vice President of Administration for Theia, said Albuquerque was appealing to the company because of its “pipeline of engineering talent” from the University of New Mexico Engineering College. One goal is for the company to partner with all New Mexico universities to attract graduates and he said “It’s going to be a big part of our strategy in recruiting.”

Links to news coverage sources are here:

https://www.koat.com/article/aerospace-center-one-step-closer-to-being-built-in-albuquerque/34662638

https://www.abqjournal.com/1517515/aerospace-firm-targets-abq-for-new-campus.html

INTELLIGENT MANUFACTURING

There is a major effort to bring high paying technology-based jobs to communities all across the state. New Mexico is making real progress in the area. A recent analysis by the Milken Institute found New Mexico alongside New Jersey saw the largest gains in science and technology workforce over the past 2 years.

On May 3, 2021, Intel Corporation announced it will be investing $3.5 billion to equip its New Mexico operations for the manufacturing of advanced semiconductor packaging technologies, including Foveros, Intel’s breakthrough 3D packaging technology. The multiyear investment is expected to create at least 700 high-tech jobs and 1,000 construction jobs and support an additional 3,500 jobs in the state. Planning activities began immediately, with construction expected to start in late 2021.
https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/newsroom/news/new-mexico-manufacturing.html#gs.0yh3ny

BIO-SCIENCES

In the biosciences sector, more than a hundred new high-paying jobs are expected in Rio Rancho. The company Nature’s Toolbox specializes in bio-manufacturing to speed up the development of vaccines and pharmaceuticals. The average salary is $74,000.

GLOBAL TRADE

State officials are tapping into the international border with Mexico as a major economic opportunity. In recent months, the state announced major partnerships with at least three Taiwanese companies to set up shop in Santa Teresa, New Mexico. That includes Xxentria, which is a leading manufacturer of metal composites. Secretary Keyes had this to say:

“A lot of their heavy industry and manufacturing is going to be in Chihuahua and then we do the assembly in New Mexico, and also the headquarters. … And we’ve just hired a consultant for New Mexico that will be based in Taipei to help us with courting those Taiwanese companies and those Asian companies that potentially want to be on the border here.”

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/working-4-the-future-diversifying-new-mexicorsquos-economy/5956987/?cat=500

RECREATIONAL CANNIBUS INDUSTRY

On March 31, in a special session of the New Mexico legislature, the state became the 18 state to legalize recreational cannabis . New Mexico already has a medical cannabis program that has more than 107,000 enrolled patients. The new law takes effect July 1 and sales are to begin no later than April 1, 2022. However, if new regulations are in fact adopted before then, sales can commence moths before the April 1 deadline.

On Tuesday, May 26, it was reported that the first proposed rules dealing primarily with marijuana producer license and plant fees were released. The link to the regulations is here:

ccd.rld.state.nm.us

The first proposed rules deal with marijuana producer license and plant fees. The drafted rules if adopted will set the cost of both producer and retailer licenses at $2,500 annually. Licenses for cannabis consumption areas, or designated places where adults can smoke, eat or drink cannabis products, would cost $2,500 annually under the draft rule.

The proposed rules call for a 3-tier system for cannabis producer plant limits with a maximum of 4,500 mature plants. Larger-scale producers would be charged higher per-plant fees than smaller producers.

Plant count limits have been the source of controversy with the States “medical marijuana” program with the current limit for licensed medical producers set at 1,750 plants. The 1,750 limit somewhat arbitrary as an attempt to avoid flooding the market with product.

The regulations must be adopted in order to meet the specific deadlines for implementing the law. Those deadlines are as follows:

No later than Sept. 1, 2021 – Start accepting and processing license applications from producers.
No later than Jan. 1, 2022 – Start issuing licenses and server permits; begin training and education programs.
No later than April 1, 2022 – Begin retail sales of recreational cannabis.

Advocates of recreational legalization argue it will generate at least 13,000 jobs and millions of dollars for the economy. According to some reports, legalizing recreational marijuana will generate up to $800 million a year, a $200 million increase from the last years estimate of $600 million.

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/recreational-marijuana-could-generate-up-to-800-million-a-year-according-to-new-estimates/5921047/?utm_medium=onsite&utm_campaign=thumbnails&utm_source=zetaglobal

A BUDDING AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRY TO RIVAL ALFALFA

It was in 2017 that the New Mexico Legislature but Republican Govvernor “She Who Shall Not Be Named” vetoed the bill. The veto was overturned on procedural grounds in spring 2018. In 2019 New Mexico authorities finalized hemp rules in time for farmers to produce the state’s first legal harvest in 2019. The Corona Virus pandemic then hit New Mexico with a vengeance and the industry was placed on hold.

https://www.nmda.nmsu.edu/hemp-program/

https://hempindustrydaily.com/new-mexico-hemp-rules/

As the state and nation show signs of rebounding from the CORONA virus-induced economic slump, the hemp industry in New Mexico is poised to make a major strides in growth and development.

Hemp belongs to the same plant species as marijuana but is legally defined as having less than 0.3 percent THC. That’s a trace amount compared to cannabis, whose THC content can be more than 15 percent. The prime active ingredient in hemp is cannabidiol, or CBD, which comes from the plant’s leaves and flowers and is thought to have medicinal properties.

CBD is increasingly used in health and beauty products. Other parts of the plant have various uses. Hemp seeds, which contain no CBD, can be eaten raw or ground up for protein powder and dairy substitutes. Oil extracted from these seeds is used in skin care products. Fiber separated from the stalks can be used for clothing, bags, rope, beauty products, building materials, paper and bioplastics. The woody inner stalks, known as hurds, can be formed into building materials, mulch and animal bedding.

Agriculture is deeply rooted in New Mexico and in the top 10 of its industries. New Mexico is home to 23,800 farms and 43.9 million acres of farmland. The states top commodities include beef cattle and calves, pecans, hay, sheep, onions, chiles, greenhouses and nursery products, cotton, and corn. New Mexico is a major alfalfa hay producer, with 190,000 acres of the crop harvested in 2017. A legume hay, alfalfa is an excellent source of good-quality protein, fiber, vitamins and minerals. Hay generated $109 million in cash receipts.

https://www.farmflavor.com/new-mexico/new-mexicos-top-agriculture-commodities/

Hemp as an agricultural cash crop has the potential to immediately rival alfalfa as a cash crop in New Mexico. Hemp is a good crop for a desert state like New Mexico because it consumes up to 75 % less water than alfalfa and corn. … Statewide, 31 growers have licenses for indoor operations, totaling 9.74 million square feet, and four growers have licenses for outdoor cultivation, totaling 37.7 acres, according to the state Department of Agriculture.

Jill Browning, chairwoman of the New Mexico Hemp Association, has said the hemp industry will flourish on its own when the fiber is used more in clothing, construction materials and to replace plastics.

https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/business/hemp-a-budding-industry-in-new-mexico/article_12ecd6c0-752a-11eb-8cba-370b8ee8264f.html

NEW MEXICO FILM INDUSTRY EMERGES AS NATIONAL LEADER

For well over a decade, New Mexico’s film incentive package, often controversial with Republican New Mexico Legislators and previous Republican Governor “She Who Shall Not Be Named”, has been seen as the very best film production credits in the industry. The film incentive package offers a 25-30% rebate on New Mexico goods and services.

“DIRECT SPEND” ANNOUNCED

It was on June 24, the Lujan Grisham Administration announced that the New Mexico film industry has brought in $623 million in what is known as a “direct spend” with one week left to go in the fiscal year. The film industry broke the record of $525.5 million set in fiscal year 2019. In fiscal year 2020, the film industry had a direct spend of $386.8 million despite the closure of the state during the pandemic. NBCUniversal has been able to kept production going during the pandemic.

According to the New Mexico Film Office, there have been 28 productions announced by the film office during the 2020-2021 fiscal year. The number of New Mexico crew hired for the 28 productions is 3,302 with 986 New Mexico actors within those productions. The biggest impact is with background actors, which is 7,963 New Mexicans hired.

Contributing to the record-breaking year, there are film production public-private partnerships with NBCUniversal and Netflix. Both have signed a 10-year commitment to bring film and TV projects to the state.

In addition to making the announcement on the $623 direct spend, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham participated in the official opening for NBCUniversal’s production facility in Martinez town. Lujan Grisham gave the film industry major credit for its continued growth and had this to say:

“Quite frankly, this industry is a star industry during the pandemic. … [The film industry] had one of the lowest positivity rates, if not the lowest in the state. … We lead. We do it right. … This is an incredible place for the film industry. … We’re not just making movies here. We are a movie industry hub for the United States and the globe. This is where you want to be if you’re going to be doing productions.”

Alicia J. Keyes, the Cabinet Secretary of Economic Development Department added:

“This has put us on a global scale to attract film and television and multimedia productions to the state. … This money supports New Mexicans and small businesses around the state.”

The link to quoted news source material is here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/2403189/nm-film-industry-breaks-record-with-623m-in-direct-spend.html

ALBUQUERQUE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FIVE-YEAR STRATEGIC PLAN

Albuquerque Economic Development (AED) is a private, nonprofit organization whose mission is to recruit new employers and industry and help local companies grow to generate quality job opportunities for the Albuquerque metro area. AED provides a full complement of services, all at no cost or obligation to businesses seeking to locate in the city. Some of the services they offer include:

Site selection assistance
Business incentive analysis
Real estate search
Customized site and building tours
Labor market analysis
Workforce recruitment and job-training assistance
Coordination of state and local assistance

https://www.abq.org/about-aed/

AED ANNOUNCES STRATIC PLAN

On Tuesday, June 29, AED announced what it touted as its “first-of-its-kind five-year strategic plan” to stimulate job creation, to work to overcome some of the city’s most chronic problems and to boost the city’s brand nationally. The AED’s vision under the strategic is idealistic as idealistic as it gets and yet straight forward:

“That the greater Albuquerque area be known and recognized for having the highest quality of life and the most diverse, sustainable economy in the region.”

AED’s strategic plan looked at where Albuquerque ranks as compared to 10 other metro areas that compete for some of the same economic development opportunities. The 10 city’s are Dallas; Phoenix; Salt Lake City; Boise, Idaho; Colorado Springs; Des Moines, Iowa; El Paso; Omaha, Nebraska; Tucson, Arizona; and Tulsa, Oklahoma.

AED’s specific five-year goal is for Albuquerque to rank in the top 25% of midsized markets in the U.S. for job growth. That in and of itself will be a steep climb for the city which saw a pathetic 0.7% job growth in the past five years which placed the city in the bottom 25% for cities with a population of between 500,000 and 1 million people.

AED’s strategic plan will capitalize on the area’s major strengths:

A high number of people with professional and doctorate degrees,
The synergy of multiple national labs
A more affordable workforce
Higher education institutes that want to be responsive to workforce needs and
A sunny, mostly natural disaster-free, climate.

AED’s plan identifies six major industries that have momentum now that will help with economic development:

Aerospace
Biosciences
Renewable energy
Digital media and film
Corporate and professional services
Manufacturing

Because of its limited resources, AED will begin by choosing two of those industries to focus on. AED President and CEO Danielle Casey acknowledged the difficulty of implementation of the plan and said:

“[It] is a highly aspirational vision. But if we don’t have one, we have no idea where we want to be someday … I’ll be frank. I don’t see this vision happening in the next five years. But that was also why this five-year strategy is really the start of moving forward for the next 20 [years].”

THE CHALLENGES TO OVERCOME

AED identified the major obstacles to economic development all too well known to anyone who has lived, worked and done business for any length of time in Albuquerque:

Crime, poverty, homelessness, ineffective education and workforce preparation, and a lack of national and major publicly traded companies all made the list.

AED’s study asserts that violent and property crime in Albuquerque’s metro area is lower than the national average but higher than the other 10 cities looked at for comparison, except Tulsa. AED’s assertion that Albuquerque’s metro area is lower than the national average is embarrassingly false. According to FBI crime statistics, Albuquerque crime stats are exceptionally higher than the national averages in violent and property crime rates. “Neighborhood Scout” provides comprehensive database of real estate data and compiles a listing of what it considers are the 100 most dangerous cities in the United States based on violent crime rates and population. Over the last 5 years, Albuquerque has made the top 100 most dangerous cities in 2021, with the city going from the low rank of #74 to a current rank of #21.

COST OF LVING, WORKFORCE AND EDUCATION

According to AED’s strategic plan, the metro area has a large, competitively priced workforce which is essential for any new business that wants to hire local and not relocate employees. According to data compiled, Albuquerque’s wage growth is lower than all 10 of the competitive markets compared to in the study.

As to an educated workforce, Albuquerque has a high-level number professional degree. Upwards of 2.2% of Albuquerque’s 25-and-older population holds a doctorate degree which more than any of AED’s 10 competitor markets.

Albuquerque’s high school diploma and bachelor’s degree statistics are disappointing. According to AED’s report, about 11.2% of Albuquerque’s 25-and-up population holds less than a high school diploma. About 17.3% hold a bachelor’s degree, near the bottom of the 10 cities Albuquerque was compared to.

AED executives reported that Albuquerque is able to recruit highly educated workers but it has the problem not being able to produce an educated workforce. Notwithstanding , AED leaders say Central New Mexico Community College and the University of New Mexico are committed to responding to workforce needs.

STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES, OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS IDENTIFIED

AED’s strategic plan provides a “bullet points” of the city’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to the city’s economic development:

STRENGTHS

• Outstanding quality of life & climate
• Cultural and ethnic diversity
• Central U.S. location
• Transportation infrastructure
• Economy: Federal and military labs and the intellectual capital and innovation they bring
• Human capital/workforce: high concentration of Ph.D.’s and STEMrelated professionals
• Lowest cost renewable energy
• Higher education institutions – Central New Mexico College, New Mexico Tech and University of New Mexico
• Absence of natural disasters
• Welcoming to newcomers

WEAKNESSES

• Quality of life: crime, poverty and homelessness
• “scarcity” mentality and failure to “think big”
• Hostile business climate on the part of individual cities and the state government
• Relative isolation from major U.S. markets • Ineffective education, training and preparing the local workforce
• Absence of a major international airport and direct, nonstop routes
• Absence of collaboration between and among postsecondary institutions
• Deteriorated Downtown ABQ
• Few national and major publicly traded companies

OPPORTUNITIES

• Improving K-12 education
• Growing and diversifying the region’s economy to be less dependent on oil/ gas and government
• Increasing the focus on existing business
• Attracting firms and enterprises in key economic sectors
• Improving the human capital/ workforce assets of the region
• Elevating the identity and brand awareness of the Albuquerque region • Improving competitiveness and business climate
• Creating a more cohesive, effective and efficient economic development ecosystem

THREATS

• Continued negative business climate
• Failure to become less dependent on the oil/gas industry and federal government (labs and military)
• Failure to adopt a systemic, focused and performance-based approach to economic development
• Failure to “level the playing field” visà-vis competition from other states, especially taxation of business and lack of incentives
• Failure to address crime, poverty and homelessness
• Failure to improve the traditional public K-12

LINKS TO QUOTED SOURCE MATERIAL ARE HERE:

https://www.abq.org/2021strategy/

https://www.abq.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/AED103_2021StrategicPlan_TwoPager_Final_Web.pdf

https://www.abq.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/AED103_2021StrategicPlan_v3_PRINT-READY.pdf

https://www.abqjournal.com/2404655/abq-economic-developers-set-lofty-jobs-goal.html

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

Election after election, we hear New Mexico politicians running for office at all levels and elected officials from both parties repeatedly point out that we routinely rank high on the bad lists of crime, hunger, poverty, and low on the good lists of income, child well-being, places to retire, quality of education and jobs.

When you review the 10 major private sector industries identified by the state and the 6 major private sector industries that AED has identified to diversify the city’s and the state’s economy, it is clear that the lists are essentially identical once you consider the overlap and commonality. Concentration on the identified sectors or industries that have the best shot at diversifying New Mexico’s economy is essential.

There is an absolute need to concentrate on the identified industries by the state and AED, otherwise, within 20 years, if not sooner, virtually all of New Mexico will be nothing more than a dusty high desert state with more empty space, more ghost towns, beautiful vistas and sunshine and with no one wanting to live here but only visit. The only industries that will be expanding will be “assisted living” homes and funeral homes and cemeteries with New Mexico becoming the grave yard of lost opportunities, hopes and dreams for a better life and livilhood.

Links to related blog articles are here:

2020 “Orion Center” Type Of Development Foreseen In 2013 “Energize Alb” Plan; PATHETIC: City Set Aside Of $5.8 Million For Economic Development Out Of $1.1 Billion City Budget; Mayor Keller Relies On Luck For Economic Development

NM Vital Signs Are Clear: The State Is Dying; Business And Elected Leaders Must Find A Cure; A Path Forward To Diversification Of New Mexico’s Economy

https://www.abqjournal.com/2404655/abq-economic-developers-set-lofty-jobs-goal.html

Governor MLG’s Declining Poll Numbers Meaningless Over A Year Out; Evolving Issues And Weak Republican Opposition

On November 6, 2018, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham was elected to her first 4-year term, winning the election with 57.2% of the vote (398,368) to 42.8% of the vote (298,091) cast for former Congressman Steve Pearce. By any measure, a more than 100,000 margin in votes is a blowout win.

On June 3, 2021, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham made it official that she is running for a second 4-year term. Since making her announcement, there have been 2 major polls on her performance and approval and disapproval ratings as well as revolving issues that will likely help her in the long run as she seeks a second term, including weak Republican opposition with Der Führer Trump looming large over them.

GOV. MLG’s DECLINING POLL NUMBERS

Since making her announcement for a second term, there have been two polls done on the approval rating for Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Those polls are a SurveyUSA poll and a PPP poll.

SURVEYUSA POLL

On June 30, KOB 4 published the results of a SurveyUSA poll it commissioned on the Governor’s approval rating. The report was prepared by KOB 4 reporter Chris Ramirez. Below is the link to the Channel 4 news report and poll data:

https://www.kob.com/new-mexico-news/poll-gov-lujan-grisham-has-50-approval-rating/6158319/

SurveyUSA is a polling firm in the United States that conducts market research for corporations and interest groups but is best known for conducting opinion polls for various political offices and questions. SurveyUSA conducts these opinion polls under contract by over 50 television stations The difference between SurveyUSA and other telephone polling firms is twofold. First, SurveyUSA does not use live call center employees, but an automated system and taped questions. Secondly, SurveyUSA uses more concise language, especially for ballot propositions, than competitors and this can lead to diverging results.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SurveyUSA

The SurveyUSA poll asked 6 major questions. Following are the questions with the poll results:

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Michelle Lujan Grisham is doing as governor of New Mexico?

APPROVE: 50% DISAPPROVE: 32% NOT SURE: 18%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lujan Grisham is handling the Coronavirus?

Strongly Approve: 31% Somewhat Approve: 28% Somewhat Disapprove: 12% Strongly Disapprove: 22% NOT SURE: 8%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lujan Grisham is handling the economy?

Strongly Approve: 19% Somewhat Approve: 30% Somewhat Disapprove: 18% Strongly Disapprove: 24% NOT SURE: 9%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lujan Grisham is handling crime?

Strongly Approve: 13% Somewhat Approve: 27% Somewhat Disapprove: 19% Strongly Disapprove: 25 % NOT SURE: 17%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lujan Grisham is handling Policing issues?

Strongly Approve: 15 % Somewhat Approve: 25% Somewhat Disapprove: 18% Strongly Disapprove: 25 % NOT SURE: 17%

6. Is New Mexico headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION: 48% WRONG TRACK: 35% NOT SURE: 17%

Which of the following issues is most important to you right now?

Crime: 18%
Corona Virus: 15%
Unemployment: 9%
Economy: 25%
Education: 11%
Homeless: 11%
Other: 7%
Not Sure: 4%

The link to the full poll is here:

https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3247819a-cbc2-4164-8a9c-8cf1f865c23e

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING

Public Policy Polling (PPP) is a Democratic public opinion research organization headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina. It describes itself as “…the highest quality polling at the most affordable price of any company out there.” In 2008, The Wall Street Journal described PPP’s polls as “as accurate as live-interview surveys,” and ranked them fourth among interactive voice response survey operations.

https://ballotpedia.org/Public_Policy_Polling

The PPP poll was conducted on August 16 and 17 by PPP and surveyed 682 registered voters throughout New Mexico. The poll has a 3.8% margin of error. The PPP was conducted for NM Political Report. The poll found that 46% of New Mexico voters approve of Michelle Lujan Grisham’s job performance as governor compared to 45% who disapprove. The previous June 3 SurveyUSA poll gave the Governor 50% approval, 32% disapproval with 18% responding not sure.

Lujan Grisham has her highest approval rating among Democrats with a 79% approval and 13% disapproval. Only 9% of Republicans approve of her job performance and 84% disapprove. The Governor did worst with independents, with 33% who approve and 54% who disapprove.

Lujan Grisham has higher than average approval ratings among those who identify as Hispanic or Latino. She polled at 53% approval to 35% who disapprove amongst Hispanic or Latino. She polled lower among those who said they were white with 40% approving and 55% disapproving. Those identifying as other ethnicities approved 56% t to 29% disapproval.

https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2021/08/23/poll-lujan-grisham-at-46-approval-45-disapproval/

https://www.fairfieldsuntimes.com/business/energy/poll-gov-lujan-grishams-job-approval-below-50/article_731ba087-3d75-5653-9128-3cb1e7f9d99c.html

EVOLVING ISSUES

Polls taken over a year from an election are more for the benefit of the media and news outlets and those running for office and such polls are generally ignored by the public. At this point there are any number of evolving issues that will likely have an effect on improving the Governor’s chances for a second term. Those issue include crime and changes to the criminal justice system to deal with it, the economy and the pandemic.

STATE POLICE TO THE CITY

In the wake of the killing of 13-year-old, eighth grader Bennie Hargrove being shot and killed at Washington Middle school by another student as well as the city breaking the all-time homicide rate, Lujan Grisham announce she was sending 35 New Mexico State Police Officers to the city to help address its spiking murder and violent crime rates. She also announced that she is open to adding firearms legislation to the 2022 thirty-day legislative session that begins in January as well as considering other changes in the criminal laws.

On Monday, August 16, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham announced that she had order 35 New Mexico State Police ( NMSP) officers to begin “proactive operations” and crime suppression operations in the Albuquerque area starting on Tuesday, August 17. The 35 NMSP officers will be assigned to a 3-week-long operation in Albuquerque. State Police Officers will conduct operations along I-25 and I-40 in Bernalillo County. They will also be on highways during peak traffic hours. Currently, 42 state police officers are stationed in the metro area, but they patrol the area from Bernalillo to Los Lunas and Grants to Edgewood. The additional 35 State Police will concentrate on Albuquerque.

According to a news release, NMSP will be working with the New Mexico Department of Corrections and Adult Probation and Parole Department. The state department will work together to target criminals who have outstanding warrants for violent crimes and are believed to be involved in ongoing criminal activity in the city.

Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham had this to say:

“We know from our last effort there were a lot of arrests made. We think this is going to make an impact and we’re going to continue to go after fugitives right and we’ve got felony warrants, people out. It takes all of us working together to get these people picked up and held.”

Tim Johnson, Chief of the New Mexico State Police, had this to say in a news release:

“Proactive crime suppression efforts can help solve crimes and often help prevent crime in the Albuquerque Metro area. … “Citizens have described the driving on the interstates in Albuquerque as chaotic, often leaving them feeling unsafe or frightened. Shootings, murder and overall violent crime feels like a daily occurrence in the metro, we hope our plan can help slow this trend.”

The assignment of State Police will be the second time in as many years that the Governor has ordered state police to the city, but this second time is dramatically different. It was in May, 2019 following the shooting of the University of New Mexico baseball player Jackson Weller outside of a Nob Hill bar that 50 state police officers were pulled from communities all over the state and patrolled the metro for two months. The state police arrested 738 people and doing more than 14,000 traffic stops. The 35 state police being sent this time will be tasked with concentrating on outstanding warrants for violent crimes.

BACKING CHANGES IS PRE-TRIAL DETENTION SYSTEM

It was in 2016 that New Mexico voters overwhelmingly approved a constitutional amendment that did away with the money bail bond system. The change in the law resulted in doing away with defendants charge with low level nonviolent crimes being held simply because they lacked the ability to post a bond. It further authorized judges to order defendants charged with violent crimes held in custody without bond only if prosecutors can show the accused represents a danger to the community and that there are no conditions of release that will protect the community.

On August 28, Governor Lujan Grisham made it known now that she wants to see changes in the state’s pretrial detention system now viewed as too lenient in releasing violent criminals pending trial. According to the Governor, she wants to shift the burden of proof so that people charged with violent offenses are required to show they can safely be released into the community pending trial. In a statement, Lujan Grisham had this to say:

“I believe a rebuttable presumption for individuals accused of violent crimes can be a wedge in the revolving door of repeat violent offenses that have characterized the worst aspects of the crime our state continues to experience.”

Since being elected to his first term as Bernalillo County District Attorney in 2016, DA Raúl Torrez has pushed for the changes. Not at all surprising is that Chief Public Defender Bennett Baur opposes the shift in the burden of proof making it the burden of the accused to establish they are not a danger to the community and should be released pending trial. According to Bauer, only 3% of people released prior to trial commit a violent crime after their release pending trial and said:

“I’m extremely concerned about allowing the government to hold people in jail for months just because someone said you did something.”

https://www.abqjournal.com/2424184/pretrial-detention-to-be-reviewed-violent-offenders-should-be-in-jail-before-trial-governor-says.html

NEW MEXICO REVENUE OUTLOOK REBOUNDS DRAMATICALLY

On Friday, August 28, during a Legislative Finance Committee (LFC) held in Taos, it was revealed that the State is experiencing an all-time high windfall of more than nearly $1 billion higher than what was projected in February. The estimates released to the committee by executive and legislative economists project New Mexico lawmakers will have nearly $1.4 billion in additional money in the coming year, an amount that represents the difference between expected revenue and the state’s current $7.4 billion budget. The cause of the windfall is surging oil and natural gas production and a rise in consumer spending.

The projected revenue total does not include more than $1.5 billion that will automatically flow into a state “rainy day” fund and an early childhood endowment fund over the next two years nor does it include the $1.75 billion in federal relief funds that have only been partially earmarked by the Lujan Grisham administration.

The $1.4 Billion in additional revenue will allow for spending that could make a major difference in public schools, roads, health care programs and help fund new initiatives by the Legislature and Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. The 2022 legislative session is a 30 day session, called a sort session, to deal almost exclusively with the budget, financial matters and taxation and it is the Governor who set the agenda is such sessions.

Sen. George Muñoz, D-Gallup, the LFC’s vice chairman, suggested the revenue windfall should be spent on one-time expenditures not part of the state budget and had this to say:

“There’s going to be a lot more money than we know what to do with in the next few years, but it’s not going to last forever. … Now is the time to tackle the structural issues of New Mexico. ”

The link to quoted news sources material is here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/2423653/nm-revenue-levels-projected-to-soar-to-all-time-high.html

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY

New Mexico has one of the nation’s highest unemployment rates in the country. In July, it was tied for second-highest nationally at 7.6%. New Mexico posted 4.3% job growth from July 2020 through June 2021 and the state is down roughly 64,000 jobs, which is 7.4%, from its pre-pandemic peak. Taxation and Revenue Secretary Stephanie Schardin Clarke said she did not expect the State to get back to the pre-pandemic employment level until 2026.

Notwithstanding the state’s current unemployment numbers, the Lujan Grisaham Administration over the last 2 and a half years has made significant progress to diversify New Mexico’s economy.

The progress has included the film & television industry as reflected by NETFLEX buying Albuquerque Studios and expanding their operations to make Albuquerque its North American production headquarters employing thousands and the NBC opening a studio in Albuquerque as part of a 10-year venture projected to generate an economic impact of $1.1 billion over a 10-year period.

Lujan Grisham is making a major effort to bring high paying technology-based jobs to communities all across the state and is making real progress in the area. On May 3, 2021, Intel Corporation announced it will be investing $3.5 billion to equip its New Mexico operations for the manufacturing of advanced semiconductor packaging technologies, including Foveros, Intel’s breakthrough 3D packaging technology. The multiyear investment is expected to create at least 700 high-tech jobs and 1,000 construction jobs and support an additional 3,500 jobs in the state. Planning activities began immediately, with construction expected to start in late 2021.

The Areo Space industry is also rapidly expanding with the Spaceport and Virgin Galactic successfully completing its first commercial flight. The “Orion Center ”, an aerospace and technology facility which will be building a 122-acre campus facility in Albuquerque creating more jobs. “Group Orion”, the developer, is a subsidiary of Theia Group Inc., a Washington D.C. based, privately held aerospace company. The Theia Group is attempting to develop a network of satellites to digitally image and collect data on the physical world, providing solutions in areas from logistics to biology.

In the biosciences sector, more than a hundred new high-paying jobs are expected in Rio Rancho. The company Nature’s Toolbox specializes in bio-manufacturing to speed up the development of vaccines and pharmaceuticals. The average salary is $74,000.

The recreational cannibus industry will also be kicking into high gear come January, 2022. Advocates of recreational legalization argue it will generate at least 13,000 jobs and millions of dollars for the economy. According to some reports, legalizing recreational marijuana will generate up to $800 million a year, a $200 million increase from the last years estimate of $600 million.

On August 30, it was announced that MTX Group Inc, a Texas-based technology consulting firm, has selected Albuquerque as its base of operations in the Southwest. The firm is planning to hire 250 employees in the city with an average salary of more than $100,000. The firm provides technology designed to help partner organizations modernize their operations. Das Nobel, CEO and co-founder of MTX, said the company plans to use its Albuquerque office as a hub for operations taking place in Nevada, Utah and other parts of the Southwest.

Link to news source is here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/2424743/texas-firms-move-to-bring-highpaying-jobs-to-abq.html

THE REPUBLICAN OPPOSITION

There are 6 candidates who have announced that they are seeking the Republican nomination for Governor in 2022. Those candidates in the order of their announcements are:

1. SANDOVAL COUNTY COMMISSIONER JAY BLOCK

On April 18, 2021 Sandoval County Commissioner Jay Block announced he is running for the Republican nomination for Governor. Block, a retired lieutenant colonel who spent 21 years the Air Force and moved to Rio Rancho in 2015.

Block has fully aligned himself with former President Der Führer Donald Trump. In his announcement he said he is in favor of defunding abortion services and restoring qualified immunity for police officers.

In his announcement video Block said:

“This is a movement of shared values. … It’s time Michelle Lujan Grisham is out of office so we can start a new era of prosperity for New Mexicans.”

Block has already gotten nasty with his remarks about the Governor when he said:

“Michelle is proud of where New Mexico stands today. Michelle is proud New Mexico ranks last in education. Michelle is proud New Mexico ranks first in child poverty.”

https://www.koat.com/article/race-for-governor-of-new-mexico-heating-up/36974820

2. KAREN BEDONIE

On April 25, 2021, Republican and retired teacher Karen Bedonie of Farmington announced she is running for the Republican nomination for Governor. Her announcement video featured photographs of Bedonie holding a rife, posing with law enforcers, her husband, and her family, and portrayed her campaign’s focuses on a family, faith, and freedoms-based message.

In her announcement Bedonie said:

“I am a woman of courage and I have worked tirelessly to formulate a liberating plan for the beautiful state of New Mexico. … I believe the Second Amendment of the Constitution is absolute, written so beautifully that the builders of this nation installed these rights to withstand tyranny and the trampling of our liberties and freedoms. As a mother of five daughters, we will bear arms to protect ourselves. Missing, murdered, and indigenous women is real and is also unresolved.”

https://pinonpost.com/karen-bedonie-announces-candidacy-for-new-mexico-governor/

3. GREG ZANETTI

On June 14, Republican Greg Zanetti announced his campaign. Zanetti is a former Bernalillo County Republican Chairman and a former New Mexico National Guard Brigadier General who now works in the business of wealth management. He has said in the past that he does not intend to get vaccinated for covid. With respect to the Governor, Zanetti had this to say:

“We had this autocratic governor come down and impose all these rules where we shut down businesses, locked down the kids, we shut the state down, and as the facts changed and we learned more about COVID, she didn’t adjust.”

Surprisingly, Republican conservative Zanetti is distancing himself from Der Führer former president Donald Trump and said:

“This isn’t about Donald Trump. It’s not about one person, it’s about a bigger message.”

Ostensibly, Zanetti did not get the memo from New Mexico Republican Party Chairman Steve Pierce that the Republican Party in the state and nationally are very much in lock step with Der Führer Trump.

4. TIM WALSH

On June 30, Albuquerque retired teacher Tim Walsh, age 74, announced he is running for the Republican nominations for Governor. Walsh previously worked as an education adviser to former Republican Governor Gary Johnson and describes himself as the same type politically as Johnson. That likely means being nothing but a libertarian who has decided to become a Republican but who smokes cannabis without telling anyone until he gets termed out.

In his announcement Walsh said if elected Governor he would push to overhaul the state’s public pension funds to a 401(k) model to address unfunded liabilities and do away with the state’s high-profile film incentive program.

https://www.abqjournal.com/2405298/gop-candidate-tim-walsh-announces-gubernatorial-bid.html

5. REBECCA DOW

On July 7, three term Republican State Representative Rebecca Dow of Truth or Consequences announced that she is running for the Republican nomination for Governor. In her announcement, she vowed to address “hard truths” related to the state’s high unemployment rate, low education rankings and chronic child welfare issues. She is a former early child care professional.

Dow, like the other Republican Governor candidates also immediately attacked Governor Lujan Grisham and described the governor as a “power hungry” career politician whose policies have hurt New Mexico and said:

“As a state, we have never experienced more dire conditions than we are currently struggling through right now.”

https://www.abqjournal.com/2415471/sanche-zjoins-gop-field-for-governor.html

HEINRICH ENDORSES MLG

On September 8, New Mexico Senator Martin Heinrich endorsed the Governor’s candidacy for a second term. In a statement, he had said in part:

. . . Lujan Grisham has set bold statewide renewable energy standards — putting New Mexico at the forefront of the clean energy industry that will produce good jobs. . .She has aggressively pursued polluters and established nation-leading rules that will reduce harmful emissions and create even more jobs through detecting and capping gas leaks that harm our air. Governor Lujan Grisham has made New Mexico a national leader in the fight against climate change. I am pleased to endorse Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham so she can continue delivering for. . .New Mexico.”

Heinrich’s strong appeal with progressive environmentalists will help to discourage any Democratic primary challengers.

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

The PPP poll finding that 46% of New Mexico voters approve of Michelle Lujan Grisham’s job performance as governor compared to 45% who disapprove no doubt is concerning, but is not surprising for a Governor that has shown real leadership making difficult decisions and who has been very effective in dealing with the coronavirus pandemic. Placing too much reliance on polls 14 months out before a general election would be a major mistake in that there is more than enough time for her to turn things around. Further, the 2 polls do not reflect at all how the Governor would fair in a one-on-one race with a generic Republican, let alone any one of the announced Der Führer Republican candidates for Governor.

The 59% approval rating dealing with the pandemic and the 49% approval rating dealing with the economy in all likely will increase as the state begins to reopen and things get back to normal. Low approval ratings in both crime and policing issues is what Governors’ and Mayors’ across the country are dealing with as violent crime is a national trend. However, Governor Lujan Grisham has not totally ignored either issue and in fact is now taking action to deal with crime and getting behind legislation to deal with it, something that will be fleshed out during the upcoming legislative session and as her bid for a second term gains full speed in the months ahead.

The one constituency that the Governor appears to need to work on is her 47% approval rating among Hispanics. 30% of Hispanics disapprove and 23% saying they were not sure of her job performance. Governor Lujan Grisham still has 79% approval rating amongst Democrats. She has a 59% approval rating dealing with the pandemic and the 49% approval rating dealing with the economy. With such a high approval rating from people who identify as Democrats, it is more likely than not Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham will have no opposition in the Democratic primary, and if so, it will be weak at best.

As for the announced Republican candidates, most, if not all 6, are viewed within political circles as weak unknowns at best and at worst way too conservative and too pro Der Führer Trump to become viable in a solid blue state such as is New Mexico. At this point in time, the biggest hope that all 6 Republican candidates have, if they are the Republican nominee, is that Governor Lujan Grisham will be viewed with nothing but extreme hostility destroying her support within the Democratic party. That is not all likely to happen and its not at all likely Democrats will want to support a Der Führer Republican Party candidate for Governor.

The link to a related blog article is here:

Six Run For Republican Nomination For Governor; In A Statewide Race, Republican Nomination May Not Be Worth Much Unless Governor Lujan Grisham Does Something Really Stupid